Katie Hobbs, the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of roughly 6-8 points and her unopposed primary. Andy Biggs secured the Republican nomination in July with over 70% of the primary vote against Rep. David Schweikert and others, backed by Trump endorsements, but trails in general election surveys. Both campaigns have shifted focus to affordability messaging and ad spending, with Hobbs maintaining a fundraising edge despite heavy outlays. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as leaning Democratic, reflecting Arizona's recent partisan shifts and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state Trump carried in 2024. Trader consensus aligns with these indicators while acknowledging the race's competitiveness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$69,019 交易量
$69,019 交易量
2026-11-02
凯蒂·霍布斯（民主党）
88%
安迪·比格斯（共和党）
13%
$69,019 交易量
$69,019 交易量
2026-11-02
凯蒂·霍布斯（民主党）
$32,286 交易量
88%
安迪·比格斯（共和党）
$36,733 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs, the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of roughly 6-8 points and her unopposed primary. Andy Biggs secured the Republican nomination in July with over 70% of the primary vote against Rep. David Schweikert and others, backed by Trump endorsements, but trails in general election surveys. Both campaigns have shifted focus to affordability messaging and ad spending, with Hobbs maintaining a fundraising edge despite heavy outlays. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as leaning Democratic, reflecting Arizona's recent partisan shifts and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state Trump carried in 2024. Trader consensus aligns with these indicators while acknowledging the race's competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$69,019结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs, the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of roughly 6-8 points and her unopposed primary. Andy Biggs secured the Republican nomination in July with over 70% of the primary vote against Rep. David Schweikert and others, backed by Trump endorsements, but trails in general election surveys. Both campaigns have shifted focus to affordability messaging and ad spending, with Hobbs maintaining a fundraising edge despite heavy outlays. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as leaning Democratic, reflecting Arizona's recent partisan shifts and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state Trump carried in 2024. Trader consensus aligns with these indicators while acknowledging the race's competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$69,019结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETKatie Hobbs, the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of roughly 6-8 points and her unopposed primary. Andy Biggs secured the Republican nomination in July with over 70% of the primary vote against Rep. David Schweikert and others, backed by Trump endorsements, but trails in general election surveys. Both campaigns have shifted focus to affordability messaging and ad spending, with Hobbs maintaining a fundraising edge despite heavy outlays. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as leaning Democratic, reflecting Arizona's recent partisan shifts and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state Trump carried in 2024. Trader consensus aligns with these indicators while acknowledging the race's competitiveness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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