Florida's status as an open-seat gubernatorial contest after term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis has shaped trader views, with the Republican nominee viewed as the strong favorite due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in statewide voting. Polling averages show GOP primary frontrunner Byron Donalds consolidating support with a wide lead over rivals, bolstered by early Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages ahead of the August 18 primary. General-election matchups in May surveys indicate Donalds holding 8- to 9-point edges over leading Democrats such as David Jolly, consistent with forecasters' Solid Republican ratings. Broader factors including Florida's partisan registration edge, historical turnout patterns, and limited recent Democratic breakthroughs in statewide races underpin the 77.5% Republican consensus probability, though undecided voters and primary outcomes could still influence final positioning before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,597 交易量
$22,597 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
78%
民主党
22%
$22,597 交易量
$22,597 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,169 交易量
78%
民主党
$13,429 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as an open-seat gubernatorial contest after term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis has shaped trader views, with the Republican nominee viewed as the strong favorite due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in statewide voting. Polling averages show GOP primary frontrunner Byron Donalds consolidating support with a wide lead over rivals, bolstered by early Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages ahead of the August 18 primary. General-election matchups in May surveys indicate Donalds holding 8- to 9-point edges over leading Democrats such as David Jolly, consistent with forecasters' Solid Republican ratings. Broader factors including Florida's partisan registration edge, historical turnout patterns, and limited recent Democratic breakthroughs in statewide races underpin the 77.5% Republican consensus probability, though undecided voters and primary outcomes could still influence final positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$22,597结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as an open-seat gubernatorial contest after term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis has shaped trader views, with the Republican nominee viewed as the strong favorite due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in statewide voting. Polling averages show GOP primary frontrunner Byron Donalds consolidating support with a wide lead over rivals, bolstered by early Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages ahead of the August 18 primary. General-election matchups in May surveys indicate Donalds holding 8- to 9-point edges over leading Democrats such as David Jolly, consistent with forecasters' Solid Republican ratings. Broader factors including Florida's partisan registration edge, historical turnout patterns, and limited recent Democratic breakthroughs in statewide races underpin the 77.5% Republican consensus probability, though undecided voters and primary outcomes could still influence final positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$22,597结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's status as an open-seat gubernatorial contest after term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis has shaped trader views, with the Republican nominee viewed as the strong favorite due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in statewide voting. Polling averages show GOP primary frontrunner Byron Donalds consolidating support with a wide lead over rivals, bolstered by early Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages ahead of the August 18 primary. General-election matchups in May surveys indicate Donalds holding 8- to 9-point edges over leading Democrats such as David Jolly, consistent with forecasters' Solid Republican ratings. Broader factors including Florida's partisan registration edge, historical turnout patterns, and limited recent Democratic breakthroughs in statewide races underpin the 77.5% Republican consensus probability, though undecided voters and primary outcomes could still influence final positioning before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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