Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ron DeSantis reached term limits position a GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the November 2026 election. Byron Donalds leads the August 18 Republican primary by wide margins in recent surveys, while Democratic contenders including David Jolly face an uphill path in a state with consistent Republican advantages in recent statewide contests. Polling aggregates show general-election matchups remaining competitive yet tilting toward the Republican, reflecting structural factors such as voter registration trends, turnout patterns, and the absence of an incumbent. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republican victory aligns with these statewide fundamentals, though late primary outcomes or shifts in national conditions could still influence the final result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,157 交易量
$34,157 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$34,157 交易量
$34,157 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$14,385 交易量
84%
民主党
$19,772 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ron DeSantis reached term limits position a GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the November 2026 election. Byron Donalds leads the August 18 Republican primary by wide margins in recent surveys, while Democratic contenders including David Jolly face an uphill path in a state with consistent Republican advantages in recent statewide contests. Polling aggregates show general-election matchups remaining competitive yet tilting toward the Republican, reflecting structural factors such as voter registration trends, turnout patterns, and the absence of an incumbent. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republican victory aligns with these statewide fundamentals, though late primary outcomes or shifts in national conditions could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$34,157结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ron DeSantis reached term limits position a GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the November 2026 election. Byron Donalds leads the August 18 Republican primary by wide margins in recent surveys, while Democratic contenders including David Jolly face an uphill path in a state with consistent Republican advantages in recent statewide contests. Polling aggregates show general-election matchups remaining competitive yet tilting toward the Republican, reflecting structural factors such as voter registration trends, turnout patterns, and the absence of an incumbent. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republican victory aligns with these statewide fundamentals, though late primary outcomes or shifts in national conditions could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$34,157结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ron DeSantis reached term limits position a GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the November 2026 election. Byron Donalds leads the August 18 Republican primary by wide margins in recent surveys, while Democratic contenders including David Jolly face an uphill path in a state with consistent Republican advantages in recent statewide contests. Polling aggregates show general-election matchups remaining competitive yet tilting toward the Republican, reflecting structural factors such as voter registration trends, turnout patterns, and the absence of an incumbent. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republican victory aligns with these statewide fundamentals, though late primary outcomes or shifts in national conditions could still influence the final result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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