Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3. Republican Byron Donalds leads the GOP primary field by wide margins in recent polling, while Democrat David Jolly holds the edge on his side; general-election matchups show Donalds ahead of likely Democratic opponents by 6–9 points among likely voters. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Florida's partisan voting patterns, sustained Republican control of state government, and consistent polling leads that align with the state's recent electoral history. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican nominee, though the August primary and November general timelines leave room for shifts based on turnout among independents and key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,042 交易量
$23,042 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
20%
$23,042 交易量
$23,042 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,541 交易量
79%
民主党
$13,502 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3. Republican Byron Donalds leads the GOP primary field by wide margins in recent polling, while Democrat David Jolly holds the edge on his side; general-election matchups show Donalds ahead of likely Democratic opponents by 6–9 points among likely voters. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Florida's partisan voting patterns, sustained Republican control of state government, and consistent polling leads that align with the state's recent electoral history. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican nominee, though the August primary and November general timelines leave room for shifts based on turnout among independents and key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$23,042结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3. Republican Byron Donalds leads the GOP primary field by wide margins in recent polling, while Democrat David Jolly holds the edge on his side; general-election matchups show Donalds ahead of likely Democratic opponents by 6–9 points among likely voters. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Florida's partisan voting patterns, sustained Republican control of state government, and consistent polling leads that align with the state's recent electoral history. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican nominee, though the August primary and November general timelines leave room for shifts based on turnout among independents and key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$23,042结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3. Republican Byron Donalds leads the GOP primary field by wide margins in recent polling, while Democrat David Jolly holds the edge on his side; general-election matchups show Donalds ahead of likely Democratic opponents by 6–9 points among likely voters. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Florida's partisan voting patterns, sustained Republican control of state government, and consistent polling leads that align with the state's recent electoral history. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican nominee, though the August primary and November general timelines leave room for shifts based on turnout among independents and key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题