Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to strong approval ratings near 56-60 percent, including crossover support, high name recognition, and a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls averaging around 16-21 points over Republican challenger Stacy Garrity. Traders reflect this through elevated probabilities for Shapiro, consistent with his fundraising edge and record on issues like education funding and economic development. Garrity, the state treasurer, faces lower visibility and favorability. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or abrupt national political changes that alter voter turnout or preferences in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于宾夕法尼亚州州长选举获胜者
宾夕法尼亚州州长选举获胜者
$49,322 交易量
$49,322 交易量
2026-11-02
乔什·夏皮罗（民主党）
97%
斯泰西·加里蒂（共和党）
3%
$49,322 交易量
$49,322 交易量
2026-11-02
乔什·夏皮罗（民主党）
$7,495 交易量
97%
斯泰西·加里蒂（共和党）
$41,827 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to strong approval ratings near 56-60 percent, including crossover support, high name recognition, and a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls averaging around 16-21 points over Republican challenger Stacy Garrity. Traders reflect this through elevated probabilities for Shapiro, consistent with his fundraising edge and record on issues like education funding and economic development. Garrity, the state treasurer, faces lower visibility and favorability. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or abrupt national political changes that alter voter turnout or preferences in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$49,322结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to strong approval ratings near 56-60 percent, including crossover support, high name recognition, and a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls averaging around 16-21 points over Republican challenger Stacy Garrity. Traders reflect this through elevated probabilities for Shapiro, consistent with his fundraising edge and record on issues like education funding and economic development. Garrity, the state treasurer, faces lower visibility and favorability. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or abrupt national political changes that alter voter turnout or preferences in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$49,322结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to strong approval ratings near 56-60 percent, including crossover support, high name recognition, and a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls averaging around 16-21 points over Republican challenger Stacy Garrity. Traders reflect this through elevated probabilities for Shapiro, consistent with his fundraising edge and record on issues like education funding and economic development. Garrity, the state treasurer, faces lower visibility and favorability. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or abrupt national political changes that alter voter turnout or preferences in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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