Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean, his status as incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge, and a June primary victory that secured 88% of the Democratic vote against a minor challenger. The rematch against Dan Cox, who won a crowded Republican primary but previously lost by over 30 points in 2022, reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96% implied probability. Moore's campaign emphasizes crime reductions, education investments, and economic growth, while Cox highlights taxes and energy costs. Maryland's voter registration advantage and limited polling shifts since the primaries sustain the wide margin, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout surges, or national economic shifts could narrow it before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,229 交易量
$22,229 交易量
2026-11-02
韦斯·摩尔（民主党）
96%
丹·考克斯（共和党）
2%
$22,229 交易量
$22,229 交易量
2026-11-02
韦斯·摩尔（民主党）
$13,131 交易量
96%
丹·考克斯（共和党）
$9,098 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean, his status as incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge, and a June primary victory that secured 88% of the Democratic vote against a minor challenger. The rematch against Dan Cox, who won a crowded Republican primary but previously lost by over 30 points in 2022, reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96% implied probability. Moore's campaign emphasizes crime reductions, education investments, and economic growth, while Cox highlights taxes and energy costs. Maryland's voter registration advantage and limited polling shifts since the primaries sustain the wide margin, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout surges, or national economic shifts could narrow it before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$22,229结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean, his status as incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge, and a June primary victory that secured 88% of the Democratic vote against a minor challenger. The rematch against Dan Cox, who won a crowded Republican primary but previously lost by over 30 points in 2022, reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96% implied probability. Moore's campaign emphasizes crime reductions, education investments, and economic growth, while Cox highlights taxes and energy costs. Maryland's voter registration advantage and limited polling shifts since the primaries sustain the wide margin, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout surges, or national economic shifts could narrow it before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$22,229结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean, his status as incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge, and a June primary victory that secured 88% of the Democratic vote against a minor challenger. The rematch against Dan Cox, who won a crowded Republican primary but previously lost by over 30 points in 2022, reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96% implied probability. Moore's campaign emphasizes crime reductions, education investments, and economic growth, while Cox highlights taxes and energy costs. Maryland's voter registration advantage and limited polling shifts since the primaries sustain the wide margin, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout surges, or national economic shifts could narrow it before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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