Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a durable Democratic advantage rooted in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat for the 2026 cycle, prompting a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, yet the district’s underlying composition continues to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory. Republican primary candidates face structural barriers in a region encompassing Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland suburbs, where turnout patterns and voter registration favor Democrats. While a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap before November, current indicators point to limited pathways for Republican competitiveness in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,973 交易量
$15,973 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
11%
$15,973 交易量
$15,973 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,538 交易量
94%
共和党
$7,436 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a durable Democratic advantage rooted in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat for the 2026 cycle, prompting a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, yet the district’s underlying composition continues to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory. Republican primary candidates face structural barriers in a region encompassing Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland suburbs, where turnout patterns and voter registration favor Democrats. While a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap before November, current indicators point to limited pathways for Republican competitiveness in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$15,973结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a durable Democratic advantage rooted in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat for the 2026 cycle, prompting a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, yet the district’s underlying composition continues to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory. Republican primary candidates face structural barriers in a region encompassing Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland suburbs, where turnout patterns and voter registration favor Democrats. While a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap before November, current indicators point to limited pathways for Republican competitiveness in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,973结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a durable Democratic advantage rooted in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat for the 2026 cycle, prompting a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, yet the district’s underlying composition continues to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory. Republican primary candidates face structural barriers in a region encompassing Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland suburbs, where turnout patterns and voter registration favor Democrats. While a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap before November, current indicators point to limited pathways for Republican competitiveness in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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