Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and a voter registration edge of roughly 2.5 Democrats for every Republican. Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement triggered a crowded Democratic primary, which concluded on June 23 with state Delegate Adrian Boafo emerging as the nominee. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate at 94.5 percent. A Republican general-election victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a major late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan alignment in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,549 交易量
$16,549 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$16,549 交易量
$16,549 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,725 交易量
95%
共和党
$7,825 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and a voter registration edge of roughly 2.5 Democrats for every Republican. Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement triggered a crowded Democratic primary, which concluded on June 23 with state Delegate Adrian Boafo emerging as the nominee. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate at 94.5 percent. A Republican general-election victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a major late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan alignment in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$16,549结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and a voter registration edge of roughly 2.5 Democrats for every Republican. Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement triggered a crowded Democratic primary, which concluded on June 23 with state Delegate Adrian Boafo emerging as the nominee. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate at 94.5 percent. A Republican general-election victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a major late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan alignment in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,549结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and a voter registration edge of roughly 2.5 Democrats for every Republican. Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement triggered a crowded Democratic primary, which concluded on June 23 with state Delegate Adrian Boafo emerging as the nominee. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate at 94.5 percent. A Republican general-election victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a major late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan alignment in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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