Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland's 8th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2017, and dominant primary performance where he secured over 92 percent of the vote. The district, centered in Montgomery County suburbs, has delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supported by voter registration patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Riley, the Republican nominee, faces substantial fundraising disadvantages and minimal national attention, reinforcing trader consensus around the incumbent's reelection. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, major health development, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,431 交易量
$27,431 交易量
2026-11-02
杰米·拉斯金（民主党）
95%
谢丽尔·赖利（共和党）
4%
$27,431 交易量
$27,431 交易量
2026-11-02
杰米·拉斯金（民主党）
$18,904 交易量
95%
谢丽尔·赖利（共和党）
$8,528 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland's 8th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2017, and dominant primary performance where he secured over 92 percent of the vote. The district, centered in Montgomery County suburbs, has delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supported by voter registration patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Riley, the Republican nominee, faces substantial fundraising disadvantages and minimal national attention, reinforcing trader consensus around the incumbent's reelection. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, major health development, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$27,431结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland's 8th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2017, and dominant primary performance where he secured over 92 percent of the vote. The district, centered in Montgomery County suburbs, has delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supported by voter registration patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Riley, the Republican nominee, faces substantial fundraising disadvantages and minimal national attention, reinforcing trader consensus around the incumbent's reelection. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, major health development, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,431结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETJamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland's 8th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2017, and dominant primary performance where he secured over 92 percent of the vote. The district, centered in Montgomery County suburbs, has delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supported by voter registration patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Riley, the Republican nominee, faces substantial fundraising disadvantages and minimal national attention, reinforcing trader consensus around the incumbent's reelection. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, major health development, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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