Maryland's 8th Congressional District, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs, features incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin seeking a sixth term amid a June 23 Democratic primary against several challengers. Raskin's substantial fundraising edge, prior 76.8% general election margin in 2024, and the district's consistent partisan tilt underpin the strong Democratic consensus in trader pricing. Republican primary contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, with the seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Late developments that could shift probabilities include an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker nominee or unforeseen national political shifts altering turnout patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,688 交易量
$14,688 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
9%
$14,688 交易量
$14,688 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,455 交易量
93%
共和党
$8,232 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th Congressional District, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs, features incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin seeking a sixth term amid a June 23 Democratic primary against several challengers. Raskin's substantial fundraising edge, prior 76.8% general election margin in 2024, and the district's consistent partisan tilt underpin the strong Democratic consensus in trader pricing. Republican primary contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, with the seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Late developments that could shift probabilities include an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker nominee or unforeseen national political shifts altering turnout patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$14,688结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th Congressional District, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs, features incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin seeking a sixth term amid a June 23 Democratic primary against several challengers. Raskin's substantial fundraising edge, prior 76.8% general election margin in 2024, and the district's consistent partisan tilt underpin the strong Democratic consensus in trader pricing. Republican primary contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, with the seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Late developments that could shift probabilities include an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker nominee or unforeseen national political shifts altering turnout patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,688结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th Congressional District, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs, features incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin seeking a sixth term amid a June 23 Democratic primary against several challengers. Raskin's substantial fundraising edge, prior 76.8% general election margin in 2024, and the district's consistent partisan tilt underpin the strong Democratic consensus in trader pricing. Republican primary contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, with the seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Late developments that could shift probabilities include an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker nominee or unforeseen national political shifts altering turnout patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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