Incumbent Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 8th congressional district heading into the June 23 Democratic primary and November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30-plus partisan voting index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus. Raskin’s established record, fundraising advantage, and lack of significant primary opposition or credible Republican challengers reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of redistricting changes or major scandals further stabilize the outlook. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a serious health issue for the incumbent or an extreme national partisan swing exceeding typical historical bounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,688 交易量
$14,688 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
28%
$14,688 交易量
$14,688 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,455 交易量
92%
共和党
$8,232 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 8th congressional district heading into the June 23 Democratic primary and November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30-plus partisan voting index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus. Raskin’s established record, fundraising advantage, and lack of significant primary opposition or credible Republican challengers reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of redistricting changes or major scandals further stabilize the outlook. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a serious health issue for the incumbent or an extreme national partisan swing exceeding typical historical bounds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$14,688结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 8th congressional district heading into the June 23 Democratic primary and November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30-plus partisan voting index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus. Raskin’s established record, fundraising advantage, and lack of significant primary opposition or credible Republican challengers reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of redistricting changes or major scandals further stabilize the outlook. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a serious health issue for the incumbent or an extreme national partisan swing exceeding typical historical bounds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,688结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 8th congressional district heading into the June 23 Democratic primary and November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30-plus partisan voting index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus. Raskin’s established record, fundraising advantage, and lack of significant primary opposition or credible Republican challengers reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of redistricting changes or major scandals further stabilize the outlook. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a serious health issue for the incumbent or an extreme national partisan swing exceeding typical historical bounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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