Maryland's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Jamie Raskin faces minimal primary or general election opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election, with Republican contenders still competing in an early primary cycle. This structural advantage drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan composition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,688 交易量
$14,688 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
11%
$14,688 交易量
$14,688 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,455 交易量
93%
共和党
$8,232 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Jamie Raskin faces minimal primary or general election opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election, with Republican contenders still competing in an early primary cycle. This structural advantage drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$14,688结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Jamie Raskin faces minimal primary or general election opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election, with Republican contenders still competing in an early primary cycle. This structural advantage drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,688结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Jamie Raskin faces minimal primary or general election opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election, with Republican contenders still competing in an early primary cycle. This structural advantage drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan composition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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