Wyoming’s entrenched Republican dominance and consistent electoral history underpin the strong trader consensus for a GOP victory in the 2026 Senate race. With incumbent Cynthia Lummis retiring, the August Republican primary features prominent contenders such as U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds key endorsements, while the Democratic primary field remains limited. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state’s partisan voting patterns and modest Democratic infrastructure. A Republican nominee is expected to prevail in November unless disrupted by an unforeseen primary outcome, significant candidate scandal, or unusually favorable national conditions for Democrats that narrow margins in this reliably red state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,550 交易量
$10,550 交易量

共和党
95%

民主党
5%
$10,550 交易量
$10,550 交易量

共和党
95%

民主党
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming’s entrenched Republican dominance and consistent electoral history underpin the strong trader consensus for a GOP victory in the 2026 Senate race. With incumbent Cynthia Lummis retiring, the August Republican primary features prominent contenders such as U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds key endorsements, while the Democratic primary field remains limited. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state’s partisan voting patterns and modest Democratic infrastructure. A Republican nominee is expected to prevail in November unless disrupted by an unforeseen primary outcome, significant candidate scandal, or unusually favorable national conditions for Democrats that narrow margins in this reliably red state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题