Incumbent Republican Jim Pillen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Lynne Walz in Nebraska's November 3 general election. Traders assign Republicans a 92.5% probability due to the state's long streak of Republican gubernatorial victories, strong partisan registration advantages, and the structural edge of incumbency in a low-turnout environment. Limited polling shows narrower margins than historical norms, yet consistent statewide patterns and the absence of major recent disruptions have kept the implied probability stable. A Democratic upset would require unusually high independent or crossover turnout, a significant vote split from the Legal Marijuana Now nominee, or late-cycle events such as a major scandal or economic shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,191 交易量
$13,191 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$13,191 交易量
$13,191 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$8,111 交易量
93%
民主党
$5,080 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Pillen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Lynne Walz in Nebraska's November 3 general election. Traders assign Republicans a 92.5% probability due to the state's long streak of Republican gubernatorial victories, strong partisan registration advantages, and the structural edge of incumbency in a low-turnout environment. Limited polling shows narrower margins than historical norms, yet consistent statewide patterns and the absence of major recent disruptions have kept the implied probability stable. A Democratic upset would require unusually high independent or crossover turnout, a significant vote split from the Legal Marijuana Now nominee, or late-cycle events such as a major scandal or economic shift.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$13,191结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Pillen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Lynne Walz in Nebraska's November 3 general election. Traders assign Republicans a 92.5% probability due to the state's long streak of Republican gubernatorial victories, strong partisan registration advantages, and the structural edge of incumbency in a low-turnout environment. Limited polling shows narrower margins than historical norms, yet consistent statewide patterns and the absence of major recent disruptions have kept the implied probability stable. A Democratic upset would require unusually high independent or crossover turnout, a significant vote split from the Legal Marijuana Now nominee, or late-cycle events such as a major scandal or economic shift.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$13,191结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Pillen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Lynne Walz in Nebraska's November 3 general election. Traders assign Republicans a 92.5% probability due to the state's long streak of Republican gubernatorial victories, strong partisan registration advantages, and the structural edge of incumbency in a low-turnout environment. Limited polling shows narrower margins than historical norms, yet consistent statewide patterns and the absence of major recent disruptions have kept the implied probability stable. A Democratic upset would require unusually high independent or crossover turnout, a significant vote split from the Legal Marijuana Now nominee, or late-cycle events such as a major scandal or economic shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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