Rob Sand holds a substantial lead in the Iowa governor race due to his consistent polling edge, superior fundraising, and appeal as the sole Democrat in statewide office. Recent Suffolk University and Emerson College surveys from August show Sand ahead by 4–5 points among likely voters, within the margin of error but stable across multiple cycles. The open seat left by retiring Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds has amplified competitiveness, while economic pressures on farmers, a state budget deficit, and dissatisfaction with national Republican leadership have weighed on nominee Zach Lahn, who upset the Trump-backed candidate in the June primary. Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat in August, citing Sand’s independent positioning and resource advantage. Traders appear to weigh these factors, including Sand’s town hall outreach and bipartisan messaging, as tilting the November outcome in his favor despite Iowa’s Republican voter registration edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$74,477 交易量
$74,477 交易量
2026-11-02
罗布·桑德（民主党）
75%
扎克·拉恩（共和党）
26%
$74,477 交易量
$74,477 交易量
2026-11-02
罗布·桑德（民主党）
$30,952 交易量
75%
扎克·拉恩（共和党）
$43,524 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rob Sand holds a substantial lead in the Iowa governor race due to his consistent polling edge, superior fundraising, and appeal as the sole Democrat in statewide office. Recent Suffolk University and Emerson College surveys from August show Sand ahead by 4–5 points among likely voters, within the margin of error but stable across multiple cycles. The open seat left by retiring Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds has amplified competitiveness, while economic pressures on farmers, a state budget deficit, and dissatisfaction with national Republican leadership have weighed on nominee Zach Lahn, who upset the Trump-backed candidate in the June primary. Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat in August, citing Sand’s independent positioning and resource advantage. Traders appear to weigh these factors, including Sand’s town hall outreach and bipartisan messaging, as tilting the November outcome in his favor despite Iowa’s Republican voter registration edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$74,477结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rob Sand holds a substantial lead in the Iowa governor race due to his consistent polling edge, superior fundraising, and appeal as the sole Democrat in statewide office. Recent Suffolk University and Emerson College surveys from August show Sand ahead by 4–5 points among likely voters, within the margin of error but stable across multiple cycles. The open seat left by retiring Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds has amplified competitiveness, while economic pressures on farmers, a state budget deficit, and dissatisfaction with national Republican leadership have weighed on nominee Zach Lahn, who upset the Trump-backed candidate in the June primary. Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat in August, citing Sand’s independent positioning and resource advantage. Traders appear to weigh these factors, including Sand’s town hall outreach and bipartisan messaging, as tilting the November outcome in his favor despite Iowa’s Republican voter registration edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$74,477结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRob Sand holds a substantial lead in the Iowa governor race due to his consistent polling edge, superior fundraising, and appeal as the sole Democrat in statewide office. Recent Suffolk University and Emerson College surveys from August show Sand ahead by 4–5 points among likely voters, within the margin of error but stable across multiple cycles. The open seat left by retiring Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds has amplified competitiveness, while economic pressures on farmers, a state budget deficit, and dissatisfaction with national Republican leadership have weighed on nominee Zach Lahn, who upset the Trump-backed candidate in the June primary. Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat in August, citing Sand’s independent positioning and resource advantage. Traders appear to weigh these factors, including Sand’s town hall outreach and bipartisan messaging, as tilting the November outcome in his favor despite Iowa’s Republican voter registration edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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