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icon for 谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？
政治·主要

谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？

icon for 谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？
政治·主要

谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？

$231,305 交易量

2026-08-18
Polymarket

$231,305 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 汤姆·贝吉奇

汤姆·贝吉奇

$12,826 交易量

97%

icon for 伯纳黛特·威尔逊

伯纳黛特·威尔逊

$15,811 交易量

74%

icon for 乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯

$4,150 交易量

70%

icon for 戴夫·布朗森

戴夫·布朗森

$2,765 交易量

46%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$41,595 交易量

38%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$65,547 交易量

29%

icon for 比尔·沃克

比尔·沃克

$454 交易量

28%

icon for 谢莉·休斯

谢莉·休斯

$3,221 交易量

4%

icon for 亚当·克鲁姆

亚当·克鲁姆

$6,939 交易量

4%

icon for 马特·海拉拉

马特·海拉拉

$3,826 交易量

4%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$240 交易量

2%

icon for 杰西卡·费尔克洛斯

杰西卡·费尔克洛斯

$156 交易量

2%

icon for 汉克·克罗尔

汉克·克罗尔

$1,905 交易量

2%

icon for 南希·达尔斯特伦

南希·达尔斯特伦

$13,641 交易量

1%

icon for 埃德娜·德弗里斯

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$13,365 交易量

1%

icon for 马特·克拉曼

马特·克拉曼

$38,475 交易量

1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$171 交易量

1%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$1,231 交易量

1%

icon for 布鲁斯·沃尔登

布鲁斯·沃尔登

$2,378 交易量

1%

icon for 詹姆斯·帕金

詹姆斯·帕金

$2,609 交易量

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.With the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary just weeks away in this open-seat race, trader focus centers on vote fragmentation among a crowded Republican field and the ability of better-known names to secure one of the four advancement slots to the ranked-choice general. Former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson, ex-state senator Click Bishop, and former attorney general Treg Taylor lead recent betting interest alongside independent ex-governor Bill Walker and Democratic former senator Tom Begich, reflecting name recognition and fundraising edges. Seventeen candidates filed by the June 1 deadline, with withdrawals possible until late June, and polling attention has highlighted these frontrunners amid expectations of low turnout and split conservative support. No major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have shifted positioning in the final stretch.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$231,305
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.With the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary just weeks away in this open-seat race, trader focus centers on vote fragmentation among a crowded Republican field and the ability of better-known names to secure one of the four advancement slots to the ranked-choice general. Former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson, ex-state senator Click Bishop, and former attorney general Treg Taylor lead recent betting interest alongside independent ex-governor Bill Walker and Democratic former senator Tom Begich, reflecting name recognition and fundraising edges. Seventeen candidates filed by the June 1 deadline, with withdrawals possible until late June, and polling attention has highlighted these frontrunners amid expectations of low turnout and split conservative support. No major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have shifted positioning in the final stretch.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$231,305
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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常见问题

"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 20 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 97%，其次是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 74%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 97¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 97%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"已产生 $231.3K 的总交易量（自Dec 10, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 20 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"的当前领先者是"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 97%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 97%。紧随其后的结果是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 74%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。