Alaska's open gubernatorial seat, created by term limits on incumbent Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, where the highest vote-getters advance regardless of party affiliation to a ranked-choice general election. A crowded field of 17 candidates, including 12 Republicans, two Democrats such as Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, and independents like former Governor Bill Walker, creates opportunities for vote splitting among Republicans that could boost crossover or independent contenders. Recent fundraising exceeding $8 million and candidate withdrawals have highlighted resource disparities and narrowed the field slightly ahead of the vote. Polling and media attention center on Begich, Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Kreiss-Tomkins, Walker, and Bernadette Wilson as frontrunners, with primary dynamics likely to reward candidates building broad coalitions before the August deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$230,928 交易量

汤姆·贝吉奇
97%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊
76%

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯
71%

戴夫·布朗森
42%

Click Bishop
39%

Treg Taylor
31%

比尔·沃克
25%

谢莉·休斯
4%

亚当·克鲁姆
4%

马特·海拉拉
4%

Lesil McGuire
2%

杰西卡·费尔克洛斯
2%

汉克·克罗尔
2%

南希·达尔斯特伦
1%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
1%

马特·克拉曼
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

布鲁斯·沃尔登
1%

詹姆斯·帕金
<1%
$230,928 交易量

汤姆·贝吉奇
97%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊
76%

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯
71%

戴夫·布朗森
42%

Click Bishop
39%

Treg Taylor
31%

比尔·沃克
25%

谢莉·休斯
4%

亚当·克鲁姆
4%

马特·海拉拉
4%

Lesil McGuire
2%

杰西卡·费尔克洛斯
2%

汉克·克罗尔
2%

南希·达尔斯特伦
1%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
1%

马特·克拉曼
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

布鲁斯·沃尔登
1%

詹姆斯·帕金
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
市场开放时间: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska's open gubernatorial seat, created by term limits on incumbent Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, where the highest vote-getters advance regardless of party affiliation to a ranked-choice general election. A crowded field of 17 candidates, including 12 Republicans, two Democrats such as Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, and independents like former Governor Bill Walker, creates opportunities for vote splitting among Republicans that could boost crossover or independent contenders. Recent fundraising exceeding $8 million and candidate withdrawals have highlighted resource disparities and narrowed the field slightly ahead of the vote. Polling and media attention center on Begich, Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Kreiss-Tomkins, Walker, and Bernadette Wilson as frontrunners, with primary dynamics likely to reward candidates building broad coalitions before the August deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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