Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary featured 17 candidates vying to replace term-limited Governor Mike Dunleavy in a nonpartisan contest where the highest vote-getters advance regardless of party to a November ranked-choice general election. Early and ongoing tallies show Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leading at roughly 22 percent, followed by fellow Democrat Tom Begich near 20 percent, with Republicans Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson occupying the next two spots around 10 percent and 8 percent; Republican Treg Taylor sits fifth. The large Republican field produced vote fragmentation that aided the Democratic frontrunners, while late candidate entries, withdrawals, and union endorsements shaped positioning. Final certification and any post-primary dropouts by Aug. 31 could shift the fourth advancer, with traders monitoring absentee ballot counts and disclosure issues for remaining contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$360,949 交易量

Lesil McGuire
否

Gregg Brelsford
否

杰西卡·费尔克洛斯
否

Destry J. Payne Sr.
否

比尔·沃克
否

Click Bishop
否

戴夫·布朗森
是

亚当·克鲁姆
否

南希·达尔斯特伦
否

埃德娜·德弗里斯
否

马特·海拉拉
否

谢莉·休斯
否

汉克·克罗尔
否

詹姆斯·帕金
否

Treg Taylor
否

伯纳黛特·威尔逊
是

汤姆·贝吉奇
是

马特·克拉曼
否

布鲁斯·沃尔登
否

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯
是
$360,949 交易量

Lesil McGuire
否

Gregg Brelsford
否

杰西卡·费尔克洛斯
否

Destry J. Payne Sr.
否

比尔·沃克
否

Click Bishop
否

戴夫·布朗森
是

亚当·克鲁姆
否

南希·达尔斯特伦
否

埃德娜·德弗里斯
否

马特·海拉拉
否

谢莉·休斯
否

汉克·克罗尔
否

詹姆斯·帕金
否

Treg Taylor
否

伯纳黛特·威尔逊
是

汤姆·贝吉奇
是

马特·克拉曼
否

布鲁斯·沃尔登
否

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯
是
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
市场开放时间: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary featured 17 candidates vying to replace term-limited Governor Mike Dunleavy in a nonpartisan contest where the highest vote-getters advance regardless of party to a November ranked-choice general election. Early and ongoing tallies show Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leading at roughly 22 percent, followed by fellow Democrat Tom Begich near 20 percent, with Republicans Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson occupying the next two spots around 10 percent and 8 percent; Republican Treg Taylor sits fifth. The large Republican field produced vote fragmentation that aided the Democratic frontrunners, while late candidate entries, withdrawals, and union endorsements shaped positioning. Final certification and any post-primary dropouts by Aug. 31 could shift the fourth advancer, with traders monitoring absentee ballot counts and disclosure issues for remaining contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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