Alaska’s August 18 open primary for governor, replacing term-limited Republican Mike Dunleavy, featured a 17-candidate field that split Republican support across 12 entrants while consolidating Democratic votes behind just two contenders. Early returns with most precincts reporting show Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich leading at roughly 22% and 20%, followed by Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson in the low double digits; additional absentee ballots continue arriving through August 28, with certification set for August 31. Candidates finishing in the top four may withdraw by that date, potentially elevating the fifth- or sixth-place finisher. This structure and the immediate post-election tallying have shaped trader focus on the final four advancers and any strategic dropouts that could reshape the November ranked-choice general election ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$274,312 交易量

伯纳黛特·威尔逊
99%

戴夫·布朗森
92%

Treg Taylor
13%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
8%

Lesil McGuire
15%

谢莉·休斯
3%

詹姆斯·帕金
2%

Click Bishop
2%

亚当·克鲁姆
2%

布鲁斯·沃尔登
2%

汉克·克罗尔
1%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
1%

比尔·沃克
<1%

杰西卡·费尔克洛斯
<1%

南希·达尔斯特伦
<1%

马特·海拉拉
<1%

马特·克拉曼
<1%

Gregg Brelsford
<1%
$274,312 交易量

伯纳黛特·威尔逊
99%

戴夫·布朗森
92%

Treg Taylor
13%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
8%

Lesil McGuire
15%

谢莉·休斯
3%

詹姆斯·帕金
2%

Click Bishop
2%

亚当·克鲁姆
2%

布鲁斯·沃尔登
2%

汉克·克罗尔
1%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
1%

比尔·沃克
<1%

杰西卡·费尔克洛斯
<1%

南希·达尔斯特伦
<1%

马特·海拉拉
<1%

马特·克拉曼
<1%

Gregg Brelsford
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
市场开放时间: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska’s August 18 open primary for governor, replacing term-limited Republican Mike Dunleavy, featured a 17-candidate field that split Republican support across 12 entrants while consolidating Democratic votes behind just two contenders. Early returns with most precincts reporting show Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich leading at roughly 22% and 20%, followed by Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson in the low double digits; additional absentee ballots continue arriving through August 28, with certification set for August 31. Candidates finishing in the top four may withdraw by that date, potentially elevating the fifth- or sixth-place finisher. This structure and the immediate post-election tallying have shaped trader focus on the final four advancers and any strategic dropouts that could reshape the November ranked-choice general election ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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