Incumbent Republican Nicholas Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling for the August 18, 2026, top-four nonpartisan primary, holding 46-47% support compared with 28-29% for Democrat Matt Schultz and single-digit shares for independents Bill Hill, Gavin Solomon, and others. This positioning reflects Begich’s 2024 general election victory under ranked-choice voting and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state that has favored Republican presidential nominees in most recent cycles. With filing closed and roughly ten weeks until voters select the four advancers to the November general election, trader consensus centers on Begich’s strong early positioning and limited signs of erosion from challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Matt Schultz
89%
Nick Begich III
93%
Bill Hill
90%
John Williams
67%
Gavin Solomon
31%
马修“野马”威廉姆斯
26%
$8,387 交易量
Matt Schultz
89%
Nick Begich III
93%
Bill Hill
90%
John Williams
67%
Gavin Solomon
31%
马修“野马”威廉姆斯
26%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
市场开放时间: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Nicholas Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling for the August 18, 2026, top-four nonpartisan primary, holding 46-47% support compared with 28-29% for Democrat Matt Schultz and single-digit shares for independents Bill Hill, Gavin Solomon, and others. This positioning reflects Begich’s 2024 general election victory under ranked-choice voting and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state that has favored Republican presidential nominees in most recent cycles. With filing closed and roughly ten weeks until voters select the four advancers to the November general election, trader consensus centers on Begich’s strong early positioning and limited signs of erosion from challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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