Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey won his party's nomination with 54 percent. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois's partisan lean and the governor's established fundraising and incumbency advantages. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp economic downturn in the state, though such developments remain low-probability given the current margin and timeline to the November vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,108 交易量
$11,108 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$11,108 交易量
$11,108 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$5,089 交易量
97%
共和党
$6,019 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey won his party's nomination with 54 percent. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois's partisan lean and the governor's established fundraising and incumbency advantages. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp economic downturn in the state, though such developments remain low-probability given the current margin and timeline to the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$11,108结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey won his party's nomination with 54 percent. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois's partisan lean and the governor's established fundraising and incumbency advantages. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp economic downturn in the state, though such developments remain low-probability given the current margin and timeline to the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$11,108结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey won his party's nomination with 54 percent. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois's partisan lean and the governor's established fundraising and incumbency advantages. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp economic downturn in the state, though such developments remain low-probability given the current margin and timeline to the November vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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