With the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination still years away and no clear frontrunner established, trader consensus on the vice-presidential slot remains dispersed across more than a dozen names, none exceeding 26 percent. Early-cycle positioning favors candidates with high national name recognition, prior executive or cabinet experience, and established donor networks, while procedural factors such as Senate confirmation records and state-level performance continue to shape implied probabilities. The tight spread among the leading options reflects uncertainty over future primary dynamics, potential endorsements, and shifts in party coalition priorities ahead of the next midterm cycle. Scheduled events including the 2026 elections and subsequent candidate announcements could consolidate support or introduce new contenders before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Chelsea Clinton 23.8%
George Clooney 9.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%
$27,394 交易量
$27,394 交易量
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
7%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
6%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
4%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Gina Raimondo
5%
Zohran Mamdani
6%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
2%
Jared Polis
3%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
16%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Phil Murphy
3%
LeBron James
<1%
Hunter Biden
13%
George Clooney
9%
Chelsea Clinton
24%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
3%
Kim Kardashian
4%
Chris Murphy
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
7%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
4%
Chelsea Clinton 23.8%
George Clooney 9.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%
$27,394 交易量
$27,394 交易量
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
7%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
6%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
4%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Gina Raimondo
5%
Zohran Mamdani
6%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
2%
Jared Polis
3%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
16%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Phil Murphy
3%
LeBron James
<1%
Hunter Biden
13%
George Clooney
9%
Chelsea Clinton
24%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
3%
Kim Kardashian
4%
Chris Murphy
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
7%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
4%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination still years away and no clear frontrunner established, trader consensus on the vice-presidential slot remains dispersed across more than a dozen names, none exceeding 26 percent. Early-cycle positioning favors candidates with high national name recognition, prior executive or cabinet experience, and established donor networks, while procedural factors such as Senate confirmation records and state-level performance continue to shape implied probabilities. The tight spread among the leading options reflects uncertainty over future primary dynamics, potential endorsements, and shifts in party coalition priorities ahead of the next midterm cycle. Scheduled events including the 2026 elections and subsequent candidate announcements could consolidate support or introduce new contenders before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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