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政治·全球选举

2028年民主党副总裁提名人

icon for 2028年民主党副总裁提名人
政治·全球选举

2028年民主党副总裁提名人

Phil Murphy 16.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%

George Clooney 9.4%

Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%

Polymarket

$27,434 交易量

Phil Murphy 16.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%

George Clooney 9.4%

Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%

Polymarket

$27,434 交易量

Gavin Newsom

$608 交易量

4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2,183 交易量

10%

Pete Buttigieg

$1,218 交易量

4%

Josh Shapiro

$648 交易量

3%

Wes Moore

$566 交易量

3%

Stephen A. Smith

$672 交易量

6%

Kamala Harris

$497 交易量

4%

Gretchen Whitmer

$659 交易量

9%

Andy Beshear

$744 交易量

4%

Jon Ossoff

$766 交易量

3%

Mark Cuban

$463 交易量

2%

J.B. Pritzker

$465 交易量

2%

Raphael Warnock

$771 交易量

5%

Cory Booker

$370 交易量

4%

Tim Walz

$630 交易量

3%

Michelle Obama

$1,014 交易量

3%

Mark Kelly

$2,310 交易量

6%

Rahm Emanuel

$506 交易量

21%

Gina Raimondo

$367 交易量

5%

Zohran Mamdani

$3,109 交易量

9%

Roy Cooper

$467 交易量

5%

John Fetterman

$493 交易量

2%

Jared Polis

$317 交易量

3%

Jon Stewart

$651 交易量

3%

Barack Obama

$553 交易量

3%

Hillary Clinton

$234 交易量

1%

Liz Cheney

$223 交易量

<1%

Bernie Sanders

$289 交易量

2%

Phil Murphy

$250 交易量

17%

LeBron James

$174 交易量

<1%

Hunter Biden

$464 交易量

27%

George Clooney

$374 交易量

9%

Chelsea Clinton

$225 交易量

23%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$243 交易量

1%

Oprah Winfrey

$135 交易量

1%

Andrew Yang

$228 交易量

1%

Beto O’Rourke

$305 交易量

5%

Kim Kardashian

$133 交易量

24%

Chris Murphy

$633 交易量

2%

Ruben Gallego

$222 交易量

2%

Ro Khanna

$1,469 交易量

17%

James Talarico

$541 交易量

2%

Elissa Slotkin

$243 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination market shows a fragmented field, with no candidate above 23% implied probability as traders assess an open field ahead of the presidential primaries. Hunter Biden leads narrowly on family prominence within party networks, followed closely by Rahm Emanuel, Kim Kardashian, and Chelsea Clinton, whose positioning reflects speculation tied to name recognition and media visibility rather than confirmed interest. This tight spread among the top contenders stems from the extended timeline to the convention, where the eventual presidential nominee's identity, regional balance needs, and coalition-building priorities remain undetermined. Future catalysts such as early primary results, polling shifts among potential presidential candidates, or official announcements from party figures could begin to separate the field by clarifying likely pairings.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$27,434
结束日期
2028-08-10
市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination market shows a fragmented field, with no candidate above 23% implied probability as traders assess an open field ahead of the presidential primaries. Hunter Biden leads narrowly on family prominence within party networks, followed closely by Rahm Emanuel, Kim Kardashian, and Chelsea Clinton, whose positioning reflects speculation tied to name recognition and media visibility rather than confirmed interest. This tight spread among the top contenders stems from the extended timeline to the convention, where the eventual presidential nominee's identity, regional balance needs, and coalition-building priorities remain undetermined. Future catalysts such as early primary results, polling shifts among potential presidential candidates, or official announcements from party figures could begin to separate the field by clarifying likely pairings.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$27,434
结束日期
2028-08-10
市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2028年民主党副总裁提名人"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 43+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Hunter Biden"，概率为 27%，其次是"Kim Kardashian"，概率为 24%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 27¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 27%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2028年民主党副总裁提名人"已产生 $27.4K 的总交易量（自Apr 14, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2028年民主党副总裁提名人"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 43+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2028年民主党副总裁提名人"的当前领先者是"Hunter Biden"，概率为 27%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 27%。紧随其后的结果是"Kim Kardashian"，概率为 24%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2028年民主党副总裁提名人"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。