Trader consensus on the 2028 Republican vice presidential nominee remains fragmented, with no single figure exceeding 23% amid uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee and shifting alignments within the party. Tucker Carlson, Marco Rubio, Ivanka Trump, Joe Kent, and Marjorie Taylor Greene cluster near the top due to their national profiles, media reach, and perceived alignment with Trump-era priorities, while lower-priced options like J.D. Vance reflect positioning as a likely presidential contender rather than running mate. Rubio’s role as secretary of state and Vance’s vice presidency provide institutional visibility that sustains their shares, yet the absence of formal endorsements or primary positioning keeps probabilities compressed. Midterm results, cabinet reshuffles, or early primary signals could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunners and preferred ticket balances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Marco Rubio 21%
Ivanka Trump 12.2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 8.1%
J.D. Vance 8%
$17,520 交易量
$17,520 交易量
Donald Trump
2%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
21%
Tulsi Gabbard
6%
Glenn Youngkin
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
5%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
3%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
5%
Elise Stefanik
4%
Josh Hawley
5%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
2%
Katie Britt
5%
John Thune
2%
Kristi Noem
3%
Mike Pence
2%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
18%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
5%
Steve Bannon
4%
Erika Kirk
3%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
13%
Thomas Massie
3%
Eric Trump
<1%
Joe Kent
16%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Marco Rubio 21%
Ivanka Trump 12.2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 8.1%
J.D. Vance 8%
$17,520 交易量
$17,520 交易量
Donald Trump
2%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
21%
Tulsi Gabbard
6%
Glenn Youngkin
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
5%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
3%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
5%
Elise Stefanik
4%
Josh Hawley
5%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
2%
Katie Britt
5%
John Thune
2%
Kristi Noem
3%
Mike Pence
2%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
18%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
5%
Steve Bannon
4%
Erika Kirk
3%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
13%
Thomas Massie
3%
Eric Trump
<1%
Joe Kent
16%
Pete Hegseth
4%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2028 Republican vice presidential nominee remains fragmented, with no single figure exceeding 23% amid uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee and shifting alignments within the party. Tucker Carlson, Marco Rubio, Ivanka Trump, Joe Kent, and Marjorie Taylor Greene cluster near the top due to their national profiles, media reach, and perceived alignment with Trump-era priorities, while lower-priced options like J.D. Vance reflect positioning as a likely presidential contender rather than running mate. Rubio’s role as secretary of state and Vance’s vice presidency provide institutional visibility that sustains their shares, yet the absence of formal endorsements or primary positioning keeps probabilities compressed. Midterm results, cabinet reshuffles, or early primary signals could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunners and preferred ticket balances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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