Amy Klobuchar holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race due to her established statewide profile from multiple Senate victories by wide margins, combined with Minnesota’s pattern of Democratic success in governor contests since 2006. Recent polls, including a SurveyUSA survey from mid-August showing her ahead of Lisa Demuth by 16 points, and earlier Mason-Dixon and Emerson results indicating 8- to 13-point leads, reinforce trader expectations reflected in the 94.5% implied probability. Demuth secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the August 11 primary over rivals including Mike Lindell, drawing on her role as House speaker and emphasis on fiscal and accountability issues. The open-seat contest following Tim Walz’s withdrawal has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 election or unusually low turnout among Democratic-leaning voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$69,201 交易量
$69,201 交易量

艾米·克罗布查(民主党)
95%

丽萨·德穆斯(共和党)
5%
$69,201 交易量
$69,201 交易量

艾米·克罗布查(民主党)
95%

丽萨·德穆斯(共和党)
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race due to her established statewide profile from multiple Senate victories by wide margins, combined with Minnesota’s pattern of Democratic success in governor contests since 2006. Recent polls, including a SurveyUSA survey from mid-August showing her ahead of Lisa Demuth by 16 points, and earlier Mason-Dixon and Emerson results indicating 8- to 13-point leads, reinforce trader expectations reflected in the 94.5% implied probability. Demuth secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the August 11 primary over rivals including Mike Lindell, drawing on her role as House speaker and emphasis on fiscal and accountability issues. The open-seat contest following Tim Walz’s withdrawal has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 election or unusually low turnout among Democratic-leaning voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题