Richard Neal's commanding position in the MA-01 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the longtime incumbent and ranking Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, Neal secured the nomination in the September 1 primary by defeating progressive challenger Jeromie Whalen 54% to 46%, demonstrating resilience despite a competitive intra-party contest. With no Republican candidate on the ballot for the November 3 general election, Neal faces only independent Nadia Milleron in a seat he has held since 1989. Trader consensus around 94.5% for Neal aligns with these structural advantages, though health events, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,054 交易量
$52,054 交易量
2026-11-03
理查德·尼尔（民主党）
95%
共和党
5%
$52,054 交易量
$52,054 交易量
2026-11-03
理查德·尼尔（民主党）
$8,744 交易量
95%
共和党
$43,310 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Richard Neal's commanding position in the MA-01 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the longtime incumbent and ranking Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, Neal secured the nomination in the September 1 primary by defeating progressive challenger Jeromie Whalen 54% to 46%, demonstrating resilience despite a competitive intra-party contest. With no Republican candidate on the ballot for the November 3 general election, Neal faces only independent Nadia Milleron in a seat he has held since 1989. Trader consensus around 94.5% for Neal aligns with these structural advantages, though health events, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$52,054结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Richard Neal's commanding position in the MA-01 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the longtime incumbent and ranking Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, Neal secured the nomination in the September 1 primary by defeating progressive challenger Jeromie Whalen 54% to 46%, demonstrating resilience despite a competitive intra-party contest. With no Republican candidate on the ballot for the November 3 general election, Neal faces only independent Nadia Milleron in a seat he has held since 1989. Trader consensus around 94.5% for Neal aligns with these structural advantages, though health events, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,054结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRichard Neal's commanding position in the MA-01 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the longtime incumbent and ranking Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, Neal secured the nomination in the September 1 primary by defeating progressive challenger Jeromie Whalen 54% to 46%, demonstrating resilience despite a competitive intra-party contest. With no Republican candidate on the ballot for the November 3 general election, Neal faces only independent Nadia Milleron in a seat he has held since 1989. Trader consensus around 94.5% for Neal aligns with these structural advantages, though health events, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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