The Massachusetts 1st congressional district's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit general election margins for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner in the November 2026 contest. Incumbent Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and chair of the Ways and Means Committee, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and draws broad institutional support that reinforces continuity. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic, with no credible Republican challengers emerging to date. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could theoretically alter the path, though both remain low-probability events given the district's voting history and Neal's established position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,577 交易量
$13,577 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$13,577 交易量
$13,577 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,946 交易量
94%
共和党
$5,631 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 1st congressional district's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit general election margins for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner in the November 2026 contest. Incumbent Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and chair of the Ways and Means Committee, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and draws broad institutional support that reinforces continuity. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic, with no credible Republican challengers emerging to date. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could theoretically alter the path, though both remain low-probability events given the district's voting history and Neal's established position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$13,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 1st congressional district's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit general election margins for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner in the November 2026 contest. Incumbent Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and chair of the Ways and Means Committee, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and draws broad institutional support that reinforces continuity. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic, with no credible Republican challengers emerging to date. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could theoretically alter the path, though both remain low-probability events given the district's voting history and Neal's established position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 1st congressional district's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit general election margins for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner in the November 2026 contest. Incumbent Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and chair of the Ways and Means Committee, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and draws broad institutional support that reinforces continuity. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic, with no credible Republican challengers emerging to date. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could theoretically alter the path, though both remain low-probability events given the district's voting history and Neal's established position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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