Massachusetts's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voting Index around D+8, where incumbent Richard Neal has held the position since 2013 and secured 62.5% in the 2024 general election. The district encompasses western areas including Springfield and Pittsfield, areas that have consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. With the September 1, 2026 primary and November 3 general election approaching, declared Democratic contenders including Neal and challenger Jeromie Whalen face minimal organized Republican opposition, while independent candidates such as Nadia Milleron hold limited support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe Democratic districts and the absence of recent polling shifts, scandals, or national wave conditions that would alter the outcome. A late primary upset followed by an unforeseen Republican surge or major nominee-related development could theoretically narrow the margin, though such scenarios lack supporting indicators at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,142 交易量
$34,142 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$34,142 交易量
$34,142 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,165 交易量
94%
共和党
$25,977 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voting Index around D+8, where incumbent Richard Neal has held the position since 2013 and secured 62.5% in the 2024 general election. The district encompasses western areas including Springfield and Pittsfield, areas that have consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. With the September 1, 2026 primary and November 3 general election approaching, declared Democratic contenders including Neal and challenger Jeromie Whalen face minimal organized Republican opposition, while independent candidates such as Nadia Milleron hold limited support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe Democratic districts and the absence of recent polling shifts, scandals, or national wave conditions that would alter the outcome. A late primary upset followed by an unforeseen Republican surge or major nominee-related development could theoretically narrow the margin, though such scenarios lack supporting indicators at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$34,142结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voting Index around D+8, where incumbent Richard Neal has held the position since 2013 and secured 62.5% in the 2024 general election. The district encompasses western areas including Springfield and Pittsfield, areas that have consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. With the September 1, 2026 primary and November 3 general election approaching, declared Democratic contenders including Neal and challenger Jeromie Whalen face minimal organized Republican opposition, while independent candidates such as Nadia Milleron hold limited support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe Democratic districts and the absence of recent polling shifts, scandals, or national wave conditions that would alter the outcome. A late primary upset followed by an unforeseen Republican surge or major nominee-related development could theoretically narrow the margin, though such scenarios lack supporting indicators at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,142结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voting Index around D+8, where incumbent Richard Neal has held the position since 2013 and secured 62.5% in the 2024 general election. The district encompasses western areas including Springfield and Pittsfield, areas that have consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. With the September 1, 2026 primary and November 3 general election approaching, declared Democratic contenders including Neal and challenger Jeromie Whalen face minimal organized Republican opposition, while independent candidates such as Nadia Milleron hold limited support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe Democratic districts and the absence of recent polling shifts, scandals, or national wave conditions that would alter the outcome. A late primary upset followed by an unforeseen Republican surge or major nominee-related development could theoretically narrow the margin, though such scenarios lack supporting indicators at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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