Incumbent Republican Mark Messmer secured the nomination after an uncontested May 2026 primary in Indiana’s 8th congressional district, while Democrat Mary Allen advanced from her primary to face him in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the district’s R+18 partisan lean and prior results where Republican presidential candidates exceeded national averages by wide margins. Fundraising reports show Messmer holding a substantial edge over Allen. Trader consensus at 96.8% Republican reflects these structural factors, though a late-breaking scandal, candidate health event, or unexpectedly large national midterm swing could still alter the outcome before certification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,313 交易量
$41,313 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
97%
民主党
1%
$41,313 交易量
$41,313 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$26,021 交易量
97%
民主党
$15,292 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Messmer secured the nomination after an uncontested May 2026 primary in Indiana’s 8th congressional district, while Democrat Mary Allen advanced from her primary to face him in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the district’s R+18 partisan lean and prior results where Republican presidential candidates exceeded national averages by wide margins. Fundraising reports show Messmer holding a substantial edge over Allen. Trader consensus at 96.8% Republican reflects these structural factors, though a late-breaking scandal, candidate health event, or unexpectedly large national midterm swing could still alter the outcome before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$41,313结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Messmer secured the nomination after an uncontested May 2026 primary in Indiana’s 8th congressional district, while Democrat Mary Allen advanced from her primary to face him in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the district’s R+18 partisan lean and prior results where Republican presidential candidates exceeded national averages by wide margins. Fundraising reports show Messmer holding a substantial edge over Allen. Trader consensus at 96.8% Republican reflects these structural factors, though a late-breaking scandal, candidate health event, or unexpectedly large national midterm swing could still alter the outcome before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,313结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Mark Messmer secured the nomination after an uncontested May 2026 primary in Indiana’s 8th congressional district, while Democrat Mary Allen advanced from her primary to face him in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the district’s R+18 partisan lean and prior results where Republican presidential candidates exceeded national averages by wide margins. Fundraising reports show Messmer holding a substantial edge over Allen. Trader consensus at 96.8% Republican reflects these structural factors, though a late-breaking scandal, candidate health event, or unexpectedly large national midterm swing could still alter the outcome before certification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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