Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Staten Island-based seat has shifted rightward in recent cycles among its working-class electorate, supporting consistent Republican advantages in voter registration and past results. Malliotakis advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after it was canceled, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured the opposing nomination. Failed redistricting litigation left the current boundaries intact for this cycle, limiting structural changes that could alter the partisan balance. Trader consensus at 93 percent for Republicans reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major recent disruptions. A late scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,548 交易量
$25,548 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$25,548 交易量
$25,548 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$12,614 交易量
93%
民主党
$12,934 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Staten Island-based seat has shifted rightward in recent cycles among its working-class electorate, supporting consistent Republican advantages in voter registration and past results. Malliotakis advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after it was canceled, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured the opposing nomination. Failed redistricting litigation left the current boundaries intact for this cycle, limiting structural changes that could alter the partisan balance. Trader consensus at 93 percent for Republicans reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major recent disruptions. A late scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$25,548结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Staten Island-based seat has shifted rightward in recent cycles among its working-class electorate, supporting consistent Republican advantages in voter registration and past results. Malliotakis advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after it was canceled, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured the opposing nomination. Failed redistricting litigation left the current boundaries intact for this cycle, limiting structural changes that could alter the partisan balance. Trader consensus at 93 percent for Republicans reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major recent disruptions. A late scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,548结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Staten Island-based seat has shifted rightward in recent cycles among its working-class electorate, supporting consistent Republican advantages in voter registration and past results. Malliotakis advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after it was canceled, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured the opposing nomination. Failed redistricting litigation left the current boundaries intact for this cycle, limiting structural changes that could alter the partisan balance. Trader consensus at 93 percent for Republicans reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major recent disruptions. A late scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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