Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination with roughly 75% in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The seat, which stretches across central Illinois including Champaign-Urbana and parts of the Metro East, delivered Budzinski a 16-point victory in 2024, consistent with the district's underlying partisan lean. Wilson, a Champaign County board member, prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in safely Democratic territory. Trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold reflects these incumbency and geographic factors, though a significant national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,513 交易量
93%
共和党
$4,052 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination with roughly 75% in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The seat, which stretches across central Illinois including Champaign-Urbana and parts of the Metro East, delivered Budzinski a 16-point victory in 2024, consistent with the district's underlying partisan lean. Wilson, a Champaign County board member, prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in safely Democratic territory. Trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold reflects these incumbency and geographic factors, though a significant national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,565结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination with roughly 75% in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The seat, which stretches across central Illinois including Champaign-Urbana and parts of the Metro East, delivered Budzinski a 16-point victory in 2024, consistent with the district's underlying partisan lean. Wilson, a Champaign County board member, prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in safely Democratic territory. Trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold reflects these incumbency and geographic factors, though a significant national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,565结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination with roughly 75% in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The seat, which stretches across central Illinois including Champaign-Urbana and parts of the Metro East, delivered Budzinski a 16-point victory in 2024, consistent with the district's underlying partisan lean. Wilson, a Champaign County board member, prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in safely Democratic territory. Trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold reflects these incumbency and geographic factors, though a significant national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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