Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 partisan voting index and Budzinski’s 2024 margin of over 16 points contribute to its Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. She secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has trended Democratic. The 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in central Illinois counties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,088 交易量
$11,088 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$11,088 交易量
$11,088 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,763 交易量
94%
共和党
$5,325 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 partisan voting index and Budzinski’s 2024 margin of over 16 points contribute to its Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. She secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has trended Democratic. The 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in central Illinois counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,088结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 partisan voting index and Budzinski’s 2024 margin of over 16 points contribute to its Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. She secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has trended Democratic. The 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in central Illinois counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,088结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 partisan voting index and Budzinski’s 2024 margin of over 16 points contribute to its Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. She secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has trended Democratic. The 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in central Illinois counties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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