Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent significant redistricting in May 2026, shifting from a Memphis-centered majority-minority seat to a configuration that supported Donald Trump by a 60-38 margin in the 2024 presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen retired following the map changes, opening the seat. Republican nominee Brent Taylor, a state senator who secured President Trump's endorsement, won his party's August 6 primary. Democratic nominee Justin Pearson, a state representative, prevailed in his primary. The National Republican Congressional Committee has designated the district a top target for pickup. These factors, including the altered electoral math and open-seat dynamics, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,119 交易量
$35,119 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
86%
民主党
16%
$35,119 交易量
$35,119 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$21,220 交易量
86%
民主党
$13,899 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent significant redistricting in May 2026, shifting from a Memphis-centered majority-minority seat to a configuration that supported Donald Trump by a 60-38 margin in the 2024 presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen retired following the map changes, opening the seat. Republican nominee Brent Taylor, a state senator who secured President Trump's endorsement, won his party's August 6 primary. Democratic nominee Justin Pearson, a state representative, prevailed in his primary. The National Republican Congressional Committee has designated the district a top target for pickup. These factors, including the altered electoral math and open-seat dynamics, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$35,119结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent significant redistricting in May 2026, shifting from a Memphis-centered majority-minority seat to a configuration that supported Donald Trump by a 60-38 margin in the 2024 presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen retired following the map changes, opening the seat. Republican nominee Brent Taylor, a state senator who secured President Trump's endorsement, won his party's August 6 primary. Democratic nominee Justin Pearson, a state representative, prevailed in his primary. The National Republican Congressional Committee has designated the district a top target for pickup. These factors, including the altered electoral math and open-seat dynamics, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,119结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent significant redistricting in May 2026, shifting from a Memphis-centered majority-minority seat to a configuration that supported Donald Trump by a 60-38 margin in the 2024 presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen retired following the map changes, opening the seat. Republican nominee Brent Taylor, a state senator who secured President Trump's endorsement, won his party's August 6 primary. Democratic nominee Justin Pearson, a state representative, prevailed in his primary. The National Republican Congressional Committee has designated the district a top target for pickup. These factors, including the altered electoral math and open-seat dynamics, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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