Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum, who flipped Oregon’s 5th Congressional District in 2024 with a narrow 47.7% plurality, secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May 2026 primary. She faces Republican Patti Adair, the Deschutes County commissioner who won her party’s primary. The district, which includes Portland suburbs and extends to Bend, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Democratic column. Bynum’s incumbency advantage, established fundraising network, and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment have contributed to the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats. A scheduled October debate and the November 3 general election timeline remain key upcoming catalysts. Republican prospects would depend on a sustained national tailwind, stronger-than-expected performance by Adair in battleground areas of the district, or unexpected developments that erode Bynum’s support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$884 交易量
92%
共和党
$4,087 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum, who flipped Oregon’s 5th Congressional District in 2024 with a narrow 47.7% plurality, secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May 2026 primary. She faces Republican Patti Adair, the Deschutes County commissioner who won her party’s primary. The district, which includes Portland suburbs and extends to Bend, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Democratic column. Bynum’s incumbency advantage, established fundraising network, and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment have contributed to the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats. A scheduled October debate and the November 3 general election timeline remain key upcoming catalysts. Republican prospects would depend on a sustained national tailwind, stronger-than-expected performance by Adair in battleground areas of the district, or unexpected developments that erode Bynum’s support.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$4,971结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum, who flipped Oregon’s 5th Congressional District in 2024 with a narrow 47.7% plurality, secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May 2026 primary. She faces Republican Patti Adair, the Deschutes County commissioner who won her party’s primary. The district, which includes Portland suburbs and extends to Bend, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Democratic column. Bynum’s incumbency advantage, established fundraising network, and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment have contributed to the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats. A scheduled October debate and the November 3 general election timeline remain key upcoming catalysts. Republican prospects would depend on a sustained national tailwind, stronger-than-expected performance by Adair in battleground areas of the district, or unexpected developments that erode Bynum’s support.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,971结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum, who flipped Oregon’s 5th Congressional District in 2024 with a narrow 47.7% plurality, secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May 2026 primary. She faces Republican Patti Adair, the Deschutes County commissioner who won her party’s primary. The district, which includes Portland suburbs and extends to Bend, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Democratic column. Bynum’s incumbency advantage, established fundraising network, and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment have contributed to the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats. A scheduled October debate and the November 3 general election timeline remain key upcoming catalysts. Republican prospects would depend on a sustained national tailwind, stronger-than-expected performance by Adair in battleground areas of the district, or unexpected developments that erode Bynum’s support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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