Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19, 2026, primary, while Republican Patti Adair, a Deschutes County commissioner, advanced as the GOP nominee after defeating her primary opponent. The district carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indexes and performed favorably for Democrats in the prior cycle when Bynum flipped the seat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's position and limited strength of the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee an 84.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
84%
共和党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$367 交易量
84%
共和党
$137 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19, 2026, primary, while Republican Patti Adair, a Deschutes County commissioner, advanced as the GOP nominee after defeating her primary opponent. The district carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indexes and performed favorably for Democrats in the prior cycle when Bynum flipped the seat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's position and limited strength of the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee an 84.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$504结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19, 2026, primary, while Republican Patti Adair, a Deschutes County commissioner, advanced as the GOP nominee after defeating her primary opponent. The district carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indexes and performed favorably for Democrats in the prior cycle when Bynum flipped the seat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's position and limited strength of the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee an 84.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$504结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19, 2026, primary, while Republican Patti Adair, a Deschutes County commissioner, advanced as the GOP nominee after defeating her primary opponent. The district carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indexes and performed favorably for Democrats in the prior cycle when Bynum flipped the seat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's position and limited strength of the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee an 84.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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