Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her primary to face her in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic, citing the district’s modest D+ lean, Bynum’s incumbency advantages, and Kamala Harris’s stronger 2024 showing there relative to national results. Adair’s profile as a county commissioner has not generated significant momentum against the sitting member, and early fundraising reports show Bynum holding a substantial cash advantage. These elements underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in this Oregon House race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
84%
共和党
13%
民主党
84%
共和党
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her primary to face her in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic, citing the district’s modest D+ lean, Bynum’s incumbency advantages, and Kamala Harris’s stronger 2024 showing there relative to national results. Adair’s profile as a county commissioner has not generated significant momentum against the sitting member, and early fundraising reports show Bynum holding a substantial cash advantage. These elements underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in this Oregon House race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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