Incumbent Republican Jim Baird secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 4th congressional district, facing limited intra-party opposition in a seat that covers west-central Indiana including Lafayette and western Indianapolis suburbs. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by Baird's 64.8% general election margin in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic primary contenders, including Drew Cox, have not altered the underlying partisan composition or produced polling shifts. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political environment, candidate-specific developments such as health or ethics issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,237 交易量
$10,237 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$10,237 交易量
$10,237 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$7,932 交易量
93%
民主党
$2,305 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Baird secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 4th congressional district, facing limited intra-party opposition in a seat that covers west-central Indiana including Lafayette and western Indianapolis suburbs. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by Baird's 64.8% general election margin in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic primary contenders, including Drew Cox, have not altered the underlying partisan composition or produced polling shifts. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political environment, candidate-specific developments such as health or ethics issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,237结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Baird secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 4th congressional district, facing limited intra-party opposition in a seat that covers west-central Indiana including Lafayette and western Indianapolis suburbs. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by Baird's 64.8% general election margin in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic primary contenders, including Drew Cox, have not altered the underlying partisan composition or produced polling shifts. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political environment, candidate-specific developments such as health or ethics issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,237结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Baird secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 4th congressional district, facing limited intra-party opposition in a seat that covers west-central Indiana including Lafayette and western Indianapolis suburbs. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by Baird's 64.8% general election margin in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic primary contenders, including Drew Cox, have not altered the underlying partisan composition or produced polling shifts. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political environment, candidate-specific developments such as health or ethics issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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