Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a solidly Republican partisan voting index, reflected in the Republican nominee's dominant 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial cash reserves and a history of 65%+ victories. The Democratic nominee, Mitchell Jacob, faces structural headwinds in this rural, conservative district where turnout patterns and voter registration favor Republicans. Limited recent polling or national shifts have altered the outlook, leaving few catalysts for a competitive race. A major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or extreme national Democratic surge would be required to meaningfully narrow the margin before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,345 交易量
$25,345 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$25,345 交易量
$25,345 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$14,515 交易量
94%
民主党
$10,830 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a solidly Republican partisan voting index, reflected in the Republican nominee's dominant 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial cash reserves and a history of 65%+ victories. The Democratic nominee, Mitchell Jacob, faces structural headwinds in this rural, conservative district where turnout patterns and voter registration favor Republicans. Limited recent polling or national shifts have altered the outlook, leaving few catalysts for a competitive race. A major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or extreme national Democratic surge would be required to meaningfully narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$25,345结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a solidly Republican partisan voting index, reflected in the Republican nominee's dominant 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial cash reserves and a history of 65%+ victories. The Democratic nominee, Mitchell Jacob, faces structural headwinds in this rural, conservative district where turnout patterns and voter registration favor Republicans. Limited recent polling or national shifts have altered the outlook, leaving few catalysts for a competitive race. A major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or extreme national Democratic surge would be required to meaningfully narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,345结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a solidly Republican partisan voting index, reflected in the Republican nominee's dominant 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial cash reserves and a history of 65%+ victories. The Democratic nominee, Mitchell Jacob, faces structural headwinds in this rural, conservative district where turnout patterns and voter registration favor Republicans. Limited recent polling or national shifts have altered the outlook, leaving few catalysts for a competitive race. A major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or extreme national Democratic surge would be required to meaningfully narrow the margin before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题