Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent Kat Cammack's 61.6% victory in the prior cycle. Cammack, seeking another term ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election, benefits from the district's rural counties that consistently outweigh the more Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet the seat's structural advantages and historical margins sustain trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or district dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,870 交易量
$13,870 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
76%
民主党
11%
$13,870 交易量
$13,870 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,566 交易量
76%
民主党
$5,304 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent Kat Cammack's 61.6% victory in the prior cycle. Cammack, seeking another term ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election, benefits from the district's rural counties that consistently outweigh the more Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet the seat's structural advantages and historical margins sustain trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or district dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$13,870结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent Kat Cammack's 61.6% victory in the prior cycle. Cammack, seeking another term ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election, benefits from the district's rural counties that consistently outweigh the more Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet the seat's structural advantages and historical margins sustain trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or district dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,870结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent Kat Cammack's 61.6% victory in the prior cycle. Cammack, seeking another term ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election, benefits from the district's rural counties that consistently outweigh the more Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet the seat's structural advantages and historical margins sustain trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or district dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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