Florida's 4th congressional district favors Republican candidates due to its partisan voting index and voting patterns, with Donald Trump carrying the area by double digits in the prior cycle. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 57.3% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and holds fundraising and name recognition advantages typical for sitting members. LaShonda Holloway emerged from the Democratic primary held August 18, 2026, to face Bean in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal in this Northeast Florida district. These structural factors, including incumbency protections and district composition, underpin current trader consensus on the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,567 交易量
$25,567 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
90%
民主党
11%
$25,567 交易量
$25,567 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$15,534 交易量
90%
民主党
$10,032 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district favors Republican candidates due to its partisan voting index and voting patterns, with Donald Trump carrying the area by double digits in the prior cycle. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 57.3% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and holds fundraising and name recognition advantages typical for sitting members. LaShonda Holloway emerged from the Democratic primary held August 18, 2026, to face Bean in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal in this Northeast Florida district. These structural factors, including incumbency protections and district composition, underpin current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$25,567结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district favors Republican candidates due to its partisan voting index and voting patterns, with Donald Trump carrying the area by double digits in the prior cycle. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 57.3% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and holds fundraising and name recognition advantages typical for sitting members. LaShonda Holloway emerged from the Democratic primary held August 18, 2026, to face Bean in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal in this Northeast Florida district. These structural factors, including incumbency protections and district composition, underpin current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,567结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th congressional district favors Republican candidates due to its partisan voting index and voting patterns, with Donald Trump carrying the area by double digits in the prior cycle. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 57.3% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and holds fundraising and name recognition advantages typical for sitting members. LaShonda Holloway emerged from the Democratic primary held August 18, 2026, to face Bean in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal in this Northeast Florida district. These structural factors, including incumbency protections and district composition, underpin current trader consensus on the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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