Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat in the 2026 House elections following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The district carries a Republican-leaning Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 to R+7, with recent presidential results showing a 14-point Trump margin under the new lines. Major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries, where multiple GOP candidates including Sydney Gruters and John Peters compete alongside a Democratic field led by Jonathan Harris. Redistricting approved earlier this year and upheld in court reinforced the district's partisan tilt, while early fundraising and candidate positioning favor Republican continuity in this Sarasota-Manatee area seat. The November general election remains months away with no major late-cycle developments yet shifting the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,590 交易量
$17,590 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
25%
$17,590 交易量
$17,590 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,760 交易量
70%
民主党
$11,830 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat in the 2026 House elections following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The district carries a Republican-leaning Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 to R+7, with recent presidential results showing a 14-point Trump margin under the new lines. Major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries, where multiple GOP candidates including Sydney Gruters and John Peters compete alongside a Democratic field led by Jonathan Harris. Redistricting approved earlier this year and upheld in court reinforced the district's partisan tilt, while early fundraising and candidate positioning favor Republican continuity in this Sarasota-Manatee area seat. The November general election remains months away with no major late-cycle developments yet shifting the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$17,590结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat in the 2026 House elections following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The district carries a Republican-leaning Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 to R+7, with recent presidential results showing a 14-point Trump margin under the new lines. Major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries, where multiple GOP candidates including Sydney Gruters and John Peters compete alongside a Democratic field led by Jonathan Harris. Redistricting approved earlier this year and upheld in court reinforced the district's partisan tilt, while early fundraising and candidate positioning favor Republican continuity in this Sarasota-Manatee area seat. The November general election remains months away with no major late-cycle developments yet shifting the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,590结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat in the 2026 House elections following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The district carries a Republican-leaning Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 to R+7, with recent presidential results showing a 14-point Trump margin under the new lines. Major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries, where multiple GOP candidates including Sydney Gruters and John Peters compete alongside a Democratic field led by Jonathan Harris. Redistricting approved earlier this year and upheld in court reinforced the district's partisan tilt, while early fundraising and candidate positioning favor Republican continuity in this Sarasota-Manatee area seat. The November general election remains months away with no major late-cycle developments yet shifting the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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