Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The new congressional map, enacted in 2026 and upheld by courts for this election, gives the district a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+6 to R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with Donald Trump carrying it by 14 points under the revised lines. Race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 primaries in both parties, yet Republican fundraising has significantly outpaced Democratic efforts. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,590 交易量
$17,590 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
25%
$17,590 交易量
$17,590 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,760 交易量
70%
民主党
$11,830 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The new congressional map, enacted in 2026 and upheld by courts for this election, gives the district a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+6 to R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with Donald Trump carrying it by 14 points under the revised lines. Race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 primaries in both parties, yet Republican fundraising has significantly outpaced Democratic efforts. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$17,590结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The new congressional map, enacted in 2026 and upheld by courts for this election, gives the district a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+6 to R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with Donald Trump carrying it by 14 points under the revised lines. Race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 primaries in both parties, yet Republican fundraising has significantly outpaced Democratic efforts. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,590结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The new congressional map, enacted in 2026 and upheld by courts for this election, gives the district a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+6 to R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with Donald Trump carrying it by 14 points under the revised lines. Race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 primaries in both parties, yet Republican fundraising has significantly outpaced Democratic efforts. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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