Florida's 16th congressional district remains an open seat following longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan's retirement ahead of the 2026 midterms. The race carries a Solid Republican or Likely Republican rating from major forecasters, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean—Trump carried the new lines by 14 points—and Florida's broader 24-4 Republican advantage under the map signed by Governor DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld in court. Primaries scheduled for August 18 feature multiple Republican contenders including Sydney Gruters and Eddie Speir, while Democrats including Jonathan Harris compete in their primary. These elements, combined with the absence of Democratic structural advantages in the redrawn boundaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election despite the open-seat dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,590 交易量
$17,590 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
69%
民主党
25%
$17,590 交易量
$17,590 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,760 交易量
69%
民主党
$11,830 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district remains an open seat following longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan's retirement ahead of the 2026 midterms. The race carries a Solid Republican or Likely Republican rating from major forecasters, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean—Trump carried the new lines by 14 points—and Florida's broader 24-4 Republican advantage under the map signed by Governor DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld in court. Primaries scheduled for August 18 feature multiple Republican contenders including Sydney Gruters and Eddie Speir, while Democrats including Jonathan Harris compete in their primary. These elements, combined with the absence of Democratic structural advantages in the redrawn boundaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election despite the open-seat dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$17,590结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district remains an open seat following longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan's retirement ahead of the 2026 midterms. The race carries a Solid Republican or Likely Republican rating from major forecasters, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean—Trump carried the new lines by 14 points—and Florida's broader 24-4 Republican advantage under the map signed by Governor DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld in court. Primaries scheduled for August 18 feature multiple Republican contenders including Sydney Gruters and Eddie Speir, while Democrats including Jonathan Harris compete in their primary. These elements, combined with the absence of Democratic structural advantages in the redrawn boundaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election despite the open-seat dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,590结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district remains an open seat following longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan's retirement ahead of the 2026 midterms. The race carries a Solid Republican or Likely Republican rating from major forecasters, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean—Trump carried the new lines by 14 points—and Florida's broader 24-4 Republican advantage under the map signed by Governor DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld in court. Primaries scheduled for August 18 feature multiple Republican contenders including Sydney Gruters and Eddie Speir, while Democrats including Jonathan Harris compete in their primary. These elements, combined with the absence of Democratic structural advantages in the redrawn boundaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election despite the open-seat dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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