Sydney Gruters leads trader consensus in Florida’s 16th congressional district race at 83 percent implied probability, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean after 2026 redistricting and her decisive August primary victory. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Vern Buchanan, covers a mix of coastal, suburban, and rural areas that supported Donald Trump by roughly eight points in the prior cycle. Gruters secured the nomination with Trump’s endorsement and broad institutional backing, outpacing rivals in fundraising and organization. Kirschner, the Democratic nominee and former Sarasota mayor, faces structural headwinds despite one late-August internal poll showing a narrow lead; most independent forecasts rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. The November 3 general election includes an independent candidate, but the district’s fundamentals and Gruters’ resource advantage sustain current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,926 交易量
$25,926 交易量
2026-11-02
悉尼·格鲁特斯（共和党）
83%
凯利·柯施纳（民主党）
16%
$25,926 交易量
$25,926 交易量
2026-11-02
悉尼·格鲁特斯（共和党）
$9,937 交易量
83%
凯利·柯施纳（民主党）
$15,989 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sydney Gruters leads trader consensus in Florida’s 16th congressional district race at 83 percent implied probability, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean after 2026 redistricting and her decisive August primary victory. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Vern Buchanan, covers a mix of coastal, suburban, and rural areas that supported Donald Trump by roughly eight points in the prior cycle. Gruters secured the nomination with Trump’s endorsement and broad institutional backing, outpacing rivals in fundraising and organization. Kirschner, the Democratic nominee and former Sarasota mayor, faces structural headwinds despite one late-August internal poll showing a narrow lead; most independent forecasts rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. The November 3 general election includes an independent candidate, but the district’s fundamentals and Gruters’ resource advantage sustain current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$25,926结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sydney Gruters leads trader consensus in Florida’s 16th congressional district race at 83 percent implied probability, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean after 2026 redistricting and her decisive August primary victory. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Vern Buchanan, covers a mix of coastal, suburban, and rural areas that supported Donald Trump by roughly eight points in the prior cycle. Gruters secured the nomination with Trump’s endorsement and broad institutional backing, outpacing rivals in fundraising and organization. Kirschner, the Democratic nominee and former Sarasota mayor, faces structural headwinds despite one late-August internal poll showing a narrow lead; most independent forecasts rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. The November 3 general election includes an independent candidate, but the district’s fundamentals and Gruters’ resource advantage sustain current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,926结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETSydney Gruters leads trader consensus in Florida’s 16th congressional district race at 83 percent implied probability, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean after 2026 redistricting and her decisive August primary victory. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Vern Buchanan, covers a mix of coastal, suburban, and rural areas that supported Donald Trump by roughly eight points in the prior cycle. Gruters secured the nomination with Trump’s endorsement and broad institutional backing, outpacing rivals in fundraising and organization. Kirschner, the Democratic nominee and former Sarasota mayor, faces structural headwinds despite one late-August internal poll showing a narrow lead; most independent forecasts rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. The November 3 general election includes an independent candidate, but the district’s fundamentals and Gruters’ resource advantage sustain current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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