The strong Democratic lean of Illinois's 1st Congressional District, anchored on Chicago's South Side with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and previously won the seat by double digits. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have dominated recent cycles. A major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such outcomes remote before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,372 交易量
$40,372 交易量
民主党
93%
共和党
2%
$40,372 交易量
$40,372 交易量
民主党
93%
共和党
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Illinois's 1st Congressional District, anchored on Chicago's South Side with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and previously won the seat by double digits. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have dominated recent cycles. A major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such outcomes remote before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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