Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's Democratic lean and his established record there. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26%, in a district that supported the Democratic candidate by five points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Costa's fundraising advantage. Kirkland, a businessman who also ran in an adjacent district previously, faces structural headwinds in a Central Valley constituency with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments could narrow the gap before Election Day, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,331 交易量
$27,331 交易量
2026-11-03
吉姆·科斯塔（民主党）
94%
凯尔·柯克兰（共和党）
7%
$27,331 交易量
$27,331 交易量
2026-11-03
吉姆·科斯塔（民主党）
$15,163 交易量
94%
凯尔·柯克兰（共和党）
$12,168 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's Democratic lean and his established record there. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26%, in a district that supported the Democratic candidate by five points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Costa's fundraising advantage. Kirkland, a businessman who also ran in an adjacent district previously, faces structural headwinds in a Central Valley constituency with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments could narrow the gap before Election Day, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$27,331结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's Democratic lean and his established record there. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26%, in a district that supported the Democratic candidate by five points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Costa's fundraising advantage. Kirkland, a businessman who also ran in an adjacent district previously, faces structural headwinds in a Central Valley constituency with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments could narrow the gap before Election Day, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,331结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETIncumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's Democratic lean and his established record there. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26%, in a district that supported the Democratic candidate by five points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Costa's fundraising advantage. Kirkland, a businessman who also ran in an adjacent district previously, faces structural headwinds in a Central Valley constituency with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments could narrow the gap before Election Day, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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