Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November general election against Republican Ronald Whitfield. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins, underpins trader consensus on the party's strong position. Redistricting challenges that could have altered boundaries were blocked by federal courts, preserving the existing map for the 2026 cycle. With the general election still months away, scheduled events such as candidate debates or late-cycle developments could influence margins, though the seat's structural advantages limit Republican competitiveness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
75%
共和党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$0 交易量
75%
共和党
$0 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November general election against Republican Ronald Whitfield. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins, underpins trader consensus on the party's strong position. Redistricting challenges that could have altered boundaries were blocked by federal courts, preserving the existing map for the 2026 cycle. With the general election still months away, scheduled events such as candidate debates or late-cycle developments could influence margins, though the seat's structural advantages limit Republican competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November general election against Republican Ronald Whitfield. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins, underpins trader consensus on the party's strong position. Redistricting challenges that could have altered boundaries were blocked by federal courts, preserving the existing map for the 2026 cycle. With the general election still months away, scheduled events such as candidate debates or late-cycle developments could influence margins, though the seat's structural advantages limit Republican competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November general election against Republican Ronald Whitfield. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins, underpins trader consensus on the party's strong position. Redistricting challenges that could have altered boundaries were blocked by federal courts, preserving the existing map for the 2026 cycle. With the general election still months away, scheduled events such as candidate debates or late-cycle developments could influence margins, though the seat's structural advantages limit Republican competitiveness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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