Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff by a wide margin. The Houston-area seat, long a Democratic stronghold, features demographics and voting patterns that have consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield advanced unopposed in substance after winning his primary, yet faces structural headwinds in a district rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments, which traders appear to price into the current consensus favoring the Democratic Party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
76%
共和党
13%
民主党
76%
共和党
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff by a wide margin. The Houston-area seat, long a Democratic stronghold, features demographics and voting patterns that have consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield advanced unopposed in substance after winning his primary, yet faces structural headwinds in a district rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments, which traders appear to price into the current consensus favoring the Democratic Party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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