Christian Menefee holds a commanding lead in the TX-18 general election as the Democratic incumbent in a reliably Democratic Houston district. His position stems from winning the January 2026 special election to finish the late Rep. Sylvester Turner’s term, followed by a May 2026 Democratic primary runoff victory over longtime Rep. Al Green after Republican-led redistricting forced the two incumbents into the same contest. Significant outside spending, including from a cryptocurrency-aligned super PAC, bolstered Menefee’s primary effort. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield emerged from a low-profile March primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,180 交易量
$16,180 交易量
2026-11-03
克里斯蒂安·梅内菲 (民主党)
96%
罗纳德·惠特菲尔德（共和党）
3%
$16,180 交易量
$16,180 交易量
2026-11-03
克里斯蒂安·梅内菲 (民主党)
$14,471 交易量
96%
罗纳德·惠特菲尔德（共和党）
$1,709 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee holds a commanding lead in the TX-18 general election as the Democratic incumbent in a reliably Democratic Houston district. His position stems from winning the January 2026 special election to finish the late Rep. Sylvester Turner’s term, followed by a May 2026 Democratic primary runoff victory over longtime Rep. Al Green after Republican-led redistricting forced the two incumbents into the same contest. Significant outside spending, including from a cryptocurrency-aligned super PAC, bolstered Menefee’s primary effort. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield emerged from a low-profile March primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$16,180结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee holds a commanding lead in the TX-18 general election as the Democratic incumbent in a reliably Democratic Houston district. His position stems from winning the January 2026 special election to finish the late Rep. Sylvester Turner’s term, followed by a May 2026 Democratic primary runoff victory over longtime Rep. Al Green after Republican-led redistricting forced the two incumbents into the same contest. Significant outside spending, including from a cryptocurrency-aligned super PAC, bolstered Menefee’s primary effort. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield emerged from a low-profile March primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,180结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETChristian Menefee holds a commanding lead in the TX-18 general election as the Democratic incumbent in a reliably Democratic Houston district. His position stems from winning the January 2026 special election to finish the late Rep. Sylvester Turner’s term, followed by a May 2026 Democratic primary runoff victory over longtime Rep. Al Green after Republican-led redistricting forced the two incumbents into the same contest. Significant outside spending, including from a cryptocurrency-aligned super PAC, bolstered Menefee’s primary effort. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield emerged from a low-profile March primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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