Florida's 18th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the 2026 midterms, with trader consensus reflecting the district's R+14 Cook PVI and recent redistricting that expanded the GOP's statewide advantage to a projected 24-4 House split. Incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling later that month, alongside strong fundraising and minimal Democratic opposition in a primary featuring Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, limiting any realistic path for Democrats in this inland district covering Polk and surrounding counties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,081 交易量
$14,081 交易量
共和党
83%
民主党
16%
$14,081 交易量
$14,081 交易量
共和党
83%
民主党
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 18th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the 2026 midterms, with trader consensus reflecting the district's R+14 Cook PVI and recent redistricting that expanded the GOP's statewide advantage to a projected 24-4 House split. Incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling later that month, alongside strong fundraising and minimal Democratic opposition in a primary featuring Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, limiting any realistic path for Democrats in this inland district covering Polk and surrounding counties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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