Florida's 18th congressional district leans strongly Republican following the 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis and upheld by courts, which analysts project will produce a 24–4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Scott Franklin faces limited Democratic opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries, where Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong are competing for the nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voting index, fundraising patterns, and historical results. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican general-election outcome, though Democratic performance in the primary and any late shifts in turnout or national conditions could influence final margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,081 交易量
$14,081 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
16%
$14,081 交易量
$14,081 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,397 交易量
83%
民主党
$6,683 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 18th congressional district leans strongly Republican following the 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis and upheld by courts, which analysts project will produce a 24–4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Scott Franklin faces limited Democratic opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries, where Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong are competing for the nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voting index, fundraising patterns, and historical results. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican general-election outcome, though Democratic performance in the primary and any late shifts in turnout or national conditions could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$14,081结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 18th congressional district leans strongly Republican following the 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis and upheld by courts, which analysts project will produce a 24–4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Scott Franklin faces limited Democratic opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries, where Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong are competing for the nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voting index, fundraising patterns, and historical results. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican general-election outcome, though Democratic performance in the primary and any late shifts in turnout or national conditions could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,081结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 18th congressional district leans strongly Republican following the 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis and upheld by courts, which analysts project will produce a 24–4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Scott Franklin faces limited Democratic opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries, where Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong are competing for the nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voting index, fundraising patterns, and historical results. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican general-election outcome, though Democratic performance in the primary and any late shifts in turnout or national conditions could influence final margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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