Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat, where he won 65.3% in 2024, combined with overwhelming fundraising advantages and unopposed primaries for both major-party candidates. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Curtis Gibson, a former local official, has raised under $13,000 compared to Franklin's nearly $850,000, underscoring the resource gap that shapes trader assessments of the general election on November 3, 2026. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. A realistic challenge would require major unforeseen developments, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong third-party performance by Deva Simmons.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,110 交易量
$39,110 交易量
2026-11-02
斯科特·富兰克林（共和党）
92%
柯蒂斯·吉布森（民主党）
8%
$39,110 交易量
$39,110 交易量
2026-11-02
斯科特·富兰克林（共和党）
$23,543 交易量
92%
柯蒂斯·吉布森（民主党）
$15,567 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat, where he won 65.3% in 2024, combined with overwhelming fundraising advantages and unopposed primaries for both major-party candidates. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Curtis Gibson, a former local official, has raised under $13,000 compared to Franklin's nearly $850,000, underscoring the resource gap that shapes trader assessments of the general election on November 3, 2026. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. A realistic challenge would require major unforeseen developments, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong third-party performance by Deva Simmons.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$39,110结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat, where he won 65.3% in 2024, combined with overwhelming fundraising advantages and unopposed primaries for both major-party candidates. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Curtis Gibson, a former local official, has raised under $13,000 compared to Franklin's nearly $850,000, underscoring the resource gap that shapes trader assessments of the general election on November 3, 2026. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. A realistic challenge would require major unforeseen developments, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong third-party performance by Deva Simmons.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,110结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETScott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat, where he won 65.3% in 2024, combined with overwhelming fundraising advantages and unopposed primaries for both major-party candidates. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Curtis Gibson, a former local official, has raised under $13,000 compared to Franklin's nearly $850,000, underscoring the resource gap that shapes trader assessments of the general election on November 3, 2026. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. A realistic challenge would require major unforeseen developments, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong third-party performance by Deva Simmons.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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