Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and gave Stauber 58% of the vote in 2024, reflecting its Iron Range and rural character. Stauber maintains a substantial fundraising edge, strong party endorsements, and only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 primaries, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented without a standout challenger. These structural factors sustain the current trader consensus reflected in the 73% implied probability for Republicans holding the seat on November 3. No major late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,815 交易量
$14,815 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
73%
民主党
27%
$14,815 交易量
$14,815 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,565 交易量
73%
民主党
$7,250 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and gave Stauber 58% of the vote in 2024, reflecting its Iron Range and rural character. Stauber maintains a substantial fundraising edge, strong party endorsements, and only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 primaries, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented without a standout challenger. These structural factors sustain the current trader consensus reflected in the 73% implied probability for Republicans holding the seat on November 3. No major late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$14,815结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and gave Stauber 58% of the vote in 2024, reflecting its Iron Range and rural character. Stauber maintains a substantial fundraising edge, strong party endorsements, and only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 primaries, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented without a standout challenger. These structural factors sustain the current trader consensus reflected in the 73% implied probability for Republicans holding the seat on November 3. No major late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,815结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and gave Stauber 58% of the vote in 2024, reflecting its Iron Range and rural character. Stauber maintains a substantial fundraising edge, strong party endorsements, and only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 primaries, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented without a standout challenger. These structural factors sustain the current trader consensus reflected in the 73% implied probability for Republicans holding the seat on November 3. No major late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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