Republican incumbent Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan voting index and recent election results. Stauber secured 58% of the vote in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11. Multiple Democrats, including Luke Gulbranson, Trina Swanson, and John Munter, are competing in their August primary, but the seat carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks, supporting trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican nominee in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,226 交易量
$20,226 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
10%
$20,226 交易量
$20,226 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,772 交易量
87%
民主党
$9,454 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan voting index and recent election results. Stauber secured 58% of the vote in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11. Multiple Democrats, including Luke Gulbranson, Trina Swanson, and John Munter, are competing in their August primary, but the seat carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks, supporting trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican nominee in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$20,226结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan voting index and recent election results. Stauber secured 58% of the vote in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11. Multiple Democrats, including Luke Gulbranson, Trina Swanson, and John Munter, are competing in their August primary, but the seat carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks, supporting trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican nominee in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,226结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan voting index and recent election results. Stauber secured 58% of the vote in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11. Multiple Democrats, including Luke Gulbranson, Trina Swanson, and John Munter, are competing in their August primary, but the seat carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks, supporting trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican nominee in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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