The California 7th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean and long-serving incumbent Doris Matsui anchor the market's strong consensus for a Democratic winner. Matsui secured 66.8% in 2024 and advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary, where she led with roughly 30% of the vote ahead of a competitive Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on partisan voting patterns and historical margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such factors have emerged to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,053 交易量
96%
共和党
$2,770 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The California 7th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean and long-serving incumbent Doris Matsui anchor the market's strong consensus for a Democratic winner. Matsui secured 66.8% in 2024 and advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary, where she led with roughly 30% of the vote ahead of a competitive Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on partisan voting patterns and historical margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$6,823结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The California 7th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean and long-serving incumbent Doris Matsui anchor the market's strong consensus for a Democratic winner. Matsui secured 66.8% in 2024 and advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary, where she led with roughly 30% of the vote ahead of a competitive Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on partisan voting patterns and historical margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,823结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The California 7th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean and long-serving incumbent Doris Matsui anchor the market's strong consensus for a Democratic winner. Matsui secured 66.8% in 2024 and advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary, where she led with roughly 30% of the vote ahead of a competitive Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on partisan voting patterns and historical margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such factors have emerged to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题