Oregon’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Suzanne Bonamici, the Democratic representative since 2012, secured her party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl prevailed in her primary. The district’s voter base in the Portland suburbs and coastal areas has produced reliable Democratic majorities, reflected in the 2024 general election result above 68 percent. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a Republican upset. A shift would require an unprecedented national wave, candidate-specific crisis, or sustained turnout reversal not evident in current indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,389 交易量
$11,389 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$11,389 交易量
$11,389 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,214 交易量
95%
共和党
$1,174 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Suzanne Bonamici, the Democratic representative since 2012, secured her party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl prevailed in her primary. The district’s voter base in the Portland suburbs and coastal areas has produced reliable Democratic majorities, reflected in the 2024 general election result above 68 percent. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a Republican upset. A shift would require an unprecedented national wave, candidate-specific crisis, or sustained turnout reversal not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$11,389结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Suzanne Bonamici, the Democratic representative since 2012, secured her party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl prevailed in her primary. The district’s voter base in the Portland suburbs and coastal areas has produced reliable Democratic majorities, reflected in the 2024 general election result above 68 percent. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a Republican upset. A shift would require an unprecedented national wave, candidate-specific crisis, or sustained turnout reversal not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,389结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Suzanne Bonamici, the Democratic representative since 2012, secured her party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl prevailed in her primary. The district’s voter base in the Portland suburbs and coastal areas has produced reliable Democratic majorities, reflected in the 2024 general election result above 68 percent. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a Republican upset. A shift would require an unprecedented national wave, candidate-specific crisis, or sustained turnout reversal not evident in current indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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