Oregon's 1st congressional district carries a D+20 partisan voting index, reflecting consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 68.6% share in 2024. Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination after the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Democratic Party at 95%. Limited campaign activity and fundraising differentials reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unexpected national swing in voter sentiment, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,569 交易量
$12,569 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$12,569 交易量
$12,569 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,566 交易量
95%
共和党
$2,004 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district carries a D+20 partisan voting index, reflecting consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 68.6% share in 2024. Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination after the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Democratic Party at 95%. Limited campaign activity and fundraising differentials reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unexpected national swing in voter sentiment, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$12,569结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district carries a D+20 partisan voting index, reflecting consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 68.6% share in 2024. Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination after the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Democratic Party at 95%. Limited campaign activity and fundraising differentials reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unexpected national swing in voter sentiment, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,569结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district carries a D+20 partisan voting index, reflecting consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 68.6% share in 2024. Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination after the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Democratic Party at 95%. Limited campaign activity and fundraising differentials reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unexpected national swing in voter sentiment, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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