Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent double-digit margins. Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the recent primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from a low-turnout contest in a district that gave Democrats roughly 69% in the prior general election. National midterm dynamics and limited Republican infrastructure have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift would require an unusually large national Republican wave, a late candidate withdrawal or major scandal involving the incumbent, or sustained turnout anomalies that have not materialized in prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,389 交易量
$11,389 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$11,389 交易量
$11,389 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,214 交易量
95%
共和党
$1,174 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent double-digit margins. Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the recent primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from a low-turnout contest in a district that gave Democrats roughly 69% in the prior general election. National midterm dynamics and limited Republican infrastructure have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift would require an unusually large national Republican wave, a late candidate withdrawal or major scandal involving the incumbent, or sustained turnout anomalies that have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$11,389结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent double-digit margins. Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the recent primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from a low-turnout contest in a district that gave Democrats roughly 69% in the prior general election. National midterm dynamics and limited Republican infrastructure have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift would require an unusually large national Republican wave, a late candidate withdrawal or major scandal involving the incumbent, or sustained turnout anomalies that have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,389结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent double-digit margins. Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the recent primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from a low-turnout contest in a district that gave Democrats roughly 69% in the prior general election. National midterm dynamics and limited Republican infrastructure have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift would require an unusually large national Republican wave, a late candidate withdrawal or major scandal involving the incumbent, or sustained turnout anomalies that have not materialized in prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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