The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 1st congressional district due to redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the seat's partisan composition toward Democrats. The June 2 primary advanced state Senator Mike McGuire as the top Democratic candidate alongside Republican Assemblymember James Gallagher for the November general election, reflecting McGuire's established profile in state legislative leadership and the district's updated voter base across its rural northern counties. With the special election process stemming from the prior incumbent's vacancy, the outcome remains subject to shifts from national political conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,637 交易量
$23,637 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
5%
$23,637 交易量
$23,637 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$15,721 交易量
93%
共和党
$7,916 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 1st congressional district due to redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the seat's partisan composition toward Democrats. The June 2 primary advanced state Senator Mike McGuire as the top Democratic candidate alongside Republican Assemblymember James Gallagher for the November general election, reflecting McGuire's established profile in state legislative leadership and the district's updated voter base across its rural northern counties. With the special election process stemming from the prior incumbent's vacancy, the outcome remains subject to shifts from national political conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$23,637结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 1st congressional district due to redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the seat's partisan composition toward Democrats. The June 2 primary advanced state Senator Mike McGuire as the top Democratic candidate alongside Republican Assemblymember James Gallagher for the November general election, reflecting McGuire's established profile in state legislative leadership and the district's updated voter base across its rural northern counties. With the special election process stemming from the prior incumbent's vacancy, the outcome remains subject to shifts from national political conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,637结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 1st congressional district due to redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the seat's partisan composition toward Democrats. The June 2 primary advanced state Senator Mike McGuire as the top Democratic candidate alongside Republican Assemblymember James Gallagher for the November general election, reflecting McGuire's established profile in state legislative leadership and the district's updated voter base across its rural northern counties. With the special election process stemming from the prior incumbent's vacancy, the outcome remains subject to shifts from national political conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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