Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman secured a dominant primary performance on June 2, 2026, advancing comfortably to the November general election in California’s 2nd congressional district. The seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reinforced by Huffman’s prior margins exceeding 70 percent, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican primary vote shares and the absence of competitive challengers further anchor positioning ahead of the general election. While national political shifts, candidate health developments, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically alter dynamics before November 3, structural factors such as incumbency, district composition, and recent primary results continue to define the market’s assessment of the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,795 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,277 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman secured a dominant primary performance on June 2, 2026, advancing comfortably to the November general election in California’s 2nd congressional district. The seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reinforced by Huffman’s prior margins exceeding 70 percent, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican primary vote shares and the absence of competitive challengers further anchor positioning ahead of the general election. While national political shifts, candidate health developments, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically alter dynamics before November 3, structural factors such as incumbency, district composition, and recent primary results continue to define the market’s assessment of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$4,072结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman secured a dominant primary performance on June 2, 2026, advancing comfortably to the November general election in California’s 2nd congressional district. The seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reinforced by Huffman’s prior margins exceeding 70 percent, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican primary vote shares and the absence of competitive challengers further anchor positioning ahead of the general election. While national political shifts, candidate health developments, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically alter dynamics before November 3, structural factors such as incumbency, district composition, and recent primary results continue to define the market’s assessment of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,072结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman secured a dominant primary performance on June 2, 2026, advancing comfortably to the November general election in California’s 2nd congressional district. The seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reinforced by Huffman’s prior margins exceeding 70 percent, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican primary vote shares and the absence of competitive challengers further anchor positioning ahead of the general election. While national political shifts, candidate health developments, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically alter dynamics before November 3, structural factors such as incumbency, district composition, and recent primary results continue to define the market’s assessment of the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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