Redistricting shifted California's 3rd congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat, with recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Ami Bera, a moderate Democrat who relocated from the neighboring district, advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker, a Nevada County supervisor. The district's voter registration and past presidential results favor Democrats by double-digit margins, reinforcing trader consensus around an 85% probability for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,380 交易量
$26,380 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
86%
共和党
7%
$26,380 交易量
$26,380 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,193 交易量
86%
共和党
$12,187 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted California's 3rd congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat, with recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Ami Bera, a moderate Democrat who relocated from the neighboring district, advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker, a Nevada County supervisor. The district's voter registration and past presidential results favor Democrats by double-digit margins, reinforcing trader consensus around an 85% probability for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$26,380结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted California's 3rd congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat, with recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Ami Bera, a moderate Democrat who relocated from the neighboring district, advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker, a Nevada County supervisor. The district's voter registration and past presidential results favor Democrats by double-digit margins, reinforcing trader consensus around an 85% probability for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,380结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting shifted California's 3rd congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat, with recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Ami Bera, a moderate Democrat who relocated from the neighboring district, advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker, a Nevada County supervisor. The district's voter registration and past presidential results favor Democrats by double-digit margins, reinforcing trader consensus around an 85% probability for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题