Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 3rd congressional district boundaries, prompting Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley to forgo reelection there while Democratic Representative Ami Bera relocated from the neighboring seat to compete. In the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary, Bera advanced to the November general election alongside Republican Robb Tucker, who trailed significantly in name recognition and institutional backing. This matchup in the revised district has produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, consistent with historical patterns in similar California House races where one party holds a clear structural edge after candidate consolidation. No major developments have altered the general election trajectory in the immediate aftermath of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,359 交易量
$26,359 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
87%
共和党
6%
$26,359 交易量
$26,359 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,173 交易量
87%
共和党
$12,187 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 3rd congressional district boundaries, prompting Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley to forgo reelection there while Democratic Representative Ami Bera relocated from the neighboring seat to compete. In the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary, Bera advanced to the November general election alongside Republican Robb Tucker, who trailed significantly in name recognition and institutional backing. This matchup in the revised district has produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, consistent with historical patterns in similar California House races where one party holds a clear structural edge after candidate consolidation. No major developments have altered the general election trajectory in the immediate aftermath of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$26,359结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 3rd congressional district boundaries, prompting Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley to forgo reelection there while Democratic Representative Ami Bera relocated from the neighboring seat to compete. In the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary, Bera advanced to the November general election alongside Republican Robb Tucker, who trailed significantly in name recognition and institutional backing. This matchup in the revised district has produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, consistent with historical patterns in similar California House races where one party holds a clear structural edge after candidate consolidation. No major developments have altered the general election trajectory in the immediate aftermath of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,359结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 3rd congressional district boundaries, prompting Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley to forgo reelection there while Democratic Representative Ami Bera relocated from the neighboring seat to compete. In the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary, Bera advanced to the November general election alongside Republican Robb Tucker, who trailed significantly in name recognition and institutional backing. This matchup in the revised district has produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, consistent with historical patterns in similar California House races where one party holds a clear structural edge after candidate consolidation. No major developments have altered the general election trajectory in the immediate aftermath of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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