Redistricting through Proposition 50 transformed California's 3rd congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and comparable assessments from other forecasters. Democratic incumbent Ami Bera advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker, setting up a November general election in a district with strong Democratic voter registration advantages. These structural shifts, combined with the district's partisan lean, underpin the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome while leaving limited scope for late developments to alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,359 交易量
$26,359 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
85%
共和党
6%
$26,359 交易量
$26,359 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,173 交易量
85%
共和党
$12,187 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting through Proposition 50 transformed California's 3rd congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and comparable assessments from other forecasters. Democratic incumbent Ami Bera advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker, setting up a November general election in a district with strong Democratic voter registration advantages. These structural shifts, combined with the district's partisan lean, underpin the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome while leaving limited scope for late developments to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$26,359结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting through Proposition 50 transformed California's 3rd congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and comparable assessments from other forecasters. Democratic incumbent Ami Bera advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker, setting up a November general election in a district with strong Democratic voter registration advantages. These structural shifts, combined with the district's partisan lean, underpin the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome while leaving limited scope for late developments to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,359结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting through Proposition 50 transformed California's 3rd congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and comparable assessments from other forecasters. Democratic incumbent Ami Bera advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker, setting up a November general election in a district with strong Democratic voter registration advantages. These structural shifts, combined with the district's partisan lean, underpin the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome while leaving limited scope for late developments to alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题