Ami Bera holds a commanding lead in the California 3rd Congressional District general election due to the district's post-redistricting Democratic tilt under Proposition 50, his long incumbency since 2013, and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand. The June 2 top-two primary confirmed Bera and Republican Robb Tucker as nominees after Bera captured 34.3% and Tucker 29.9%, with remaining votes split among other Democrats and Republicans. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns in the Sacramento, El Dorado, Nevada, and Placer County areas. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Bera aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3 vote. A late scandal, significant health event, or sharp national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,607 交易量
$43,607 交易量
2026-11-02
阿米·贝拉（民主党）
96%
罗布·塔克（共和党）
3%
$43,607 交易量
$43,607 交易量
2026-11-02
阿米·贝拉（民主党）
$25,988 交易量
96%
罗布·塔克（共和党）
$17,619 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ami Bera holds a commanding lead in the California 3rd Congressional District general election due to the district's post-redistricting Democratic tilt under Proposition 50, his long incumbency since 2013, and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand. The June 2 top-two primary confirmed Bera and Republican Robb Tucker as nominees after Bera captured 34.3% and Tucker 29.9%, with remaining votes split among other Democrats and Republicans. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns in the Sacramento, El Dorado, Nevada, and Placer County areas. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Bera aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3 vote. A late scandal, significant health event, or sharp national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$43,607结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ami Bera holds a commanding lead in the California 3rd Congressional District general election due to the district's post-redistricting Democratic tilt under Proposition 50, his long incumbency since 2013, and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand. The June 2 top-two primary confirmed Bera and Republican Robb Tucker as nominees after Bera captured 34.3% and Tucker 29.9%, with remaining votes split among other Democrats and Republicans. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns in the Sacramento, El Dorado, Nevada, and Placer County areas. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Bera aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3 vote. A late scandal, significant health event, or sharp national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,607结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETAmi Bera holds a commanding lead in the California 3rd Congressional District general election due to the district's post-redistricting Democratic tilt under Proposition 50, his long incumbency since 2013, and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand. The June 2 top-two primary confirmed Bera and Republican Robb Tucker as nominees after Bera captured 34.3% and Tucker 29.9%, with remaining votes split among other Democrats and Republicans. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns in the Sacramento, El Dorado, Nevada, and Placer County areas. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Bera aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3 vote. A late scandal, significant health event, or sharp national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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