Redistricting has transformed California's 3rd Congressional District into a strongly Democratic seat, with voter registration favoring Democrats by a wide margin and recent statewide voting patterns reflecting that shift. Incumbent Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented a neighboring district, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker to face off in the November general election. This structural change and Bera's established position in the Sacramento area have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome, consistent with the district's partisan lean and limited recent competitive developments that might alter the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,380 交易量
$26,380 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
86%
共和党
6%
$26,380 交易量
$26,380 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,193 交易量
86%
共和党
$12,187 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed California's 3rd Congressional District into a strongly Democratic seat, with voter registration favoring Democrats by a wide margin and recent statewide voting patterns reflecting that shift. Incumbent Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented a neighboring district, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker to face off in the November general election. This structural change and Bera's established position in the Sacramento area have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome, consistent with the district's partisan lean and limited recent competitive developments that might alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$26,380结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed California's 3rd Congressional District into a strongly Democratic seat, with voter registration favoring Democrats by a wide margin and recent statewide voting patterns reflecting that shift. Incumbent Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented a neighboring district, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker to face off in the November general election. This structural change and Bera's established position in the Sacramento area have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome, consistent with the district's partisan lean and limited recent competitive developments that might alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,380结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed California's 3rd Congressional District into a strongly Democratic seat, with voter registration favoring Democrats by a wide margin and recent statewide voting patterns reflecting that shift. Incumbent Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented a neighboring district, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker to face off in the November general election. This structural change and Bera's established position in the Sacramento area have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome, consistent with the district's partisan lean and limited recent competitive developments that might alter the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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