The Democratic nominee enters the November general election as the clear favorite in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, an open seat previously held by retiring Democrat Chris Pappas. The district’s partisan voting index near D+2, combined with its performance in the 2024 presidential race, underpins trader consensus around an 86 percent implied probability of a Democratic hold. Multiple candidates are competing in the September 8 Democratic primary, while Republican contenders have yet to consolidate support in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. National midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment patterns further reinforce the current pricing, though a strong Republican nominee or shifts in voter turnout could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
86%
共和党
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$5,726 交易量
86%
共和党
$3,047 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee enters the November general election as the clear favorite in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, an open seat previously held by retiring Democrat Chris Pappas. The district’s partisan voting index near D+2, combined with its performance in the 2024 presidential race, underpins trader consensus around an 86 percent implied probability of a Democratic hold. Multiple candidates are competing in the September 8 Democratic primary, while Republican contenders have yet to consolidate support in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. National midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment patterns further reinforce the current pricing, though a strong Republican nominee or shifts in voter turnout could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$8,774结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee enters the November general election as the clear favorite in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, an open seat previously held by retiring Democrat Chris Pappas. The district’s partisan voting index near D+2, combined with its performance in the 2024 presidential race, underpins trader consensus around an 86 percent implied probability of a Democratic hold. Multiple candidates are competing in the September 8 Democratic primary, while Republican contenders have yet to consolidate support in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. National midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment patterns further reinforce the current pricing, though a strong Republican nominee or shifts in voter turnout could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,774结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee enters the November general election as the clear favorite in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, an open seat previously held by retiring Democrat Chris Pappas. The district’s partisan voting index near D+2, combined with its performance in the 2024 presidential race, underpins trader consensus around an 86 percent implied probability of a Democratic hold. Multiple candidates are competing in the September 8 Democratic primary, while Republican contenders have yet to consolidate support in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. National midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment patterns further reinforce the current pricing, though a strong Republican nominee or shifts in voter turnout could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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