Illinois's strong Democratic lean, combined with Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's primary victory and backing from Gov. JB Pritzker, underpins the trader consensus favoring her in the open seat race for the November 2026 general election. Former state GOP chair Don Tracy secured the Republican nomination but trails significantly in a state where Democrats hold consistent advantages in registration, fundraising, and recent statewide results. With the election roughly three months away, limited recent polling and campaign activity have left probabilities stable. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in the state suggest such changes would need to be substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,049 交易量
$29,049 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
95%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
4%
$29,049 交易量
$29,049 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
$14,635 交易量
95%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
$14,414 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean, combined with Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's primary victory and backing from Gov. JB Pritzker, underpins the trader consensus favoring her in the open seat race for the November 2026 general election. Former state GOP chair Don Tracy secured the Republican nomination but trails significantly in a state where Democrats hold consistent advantages in registration, fundraising, and recent statewide results. With the election roughly three months away, limited recent polling and campaign activity have left probabilities stable. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in the state suggest such changes would need to be substantial.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$29,049结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean, combined with Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's primary victory and backing from Gov. JB Pritzker, underpins the trader consensus favoring her in the open seat race for the November 2026 general election. Former state GOP chair Don Tracy secured the Republican nomination but trails significantly in a state where Democrats hold consistent advantages in registration, fundraising, and recent statewide results. With the election roughly three months away, limited recent polling and campaign activity have left probabilities stable. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in the state suggest such changes would need to be substantial.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$29,049结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic lean, combined with Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's primary victory and backing from Gov. JB Pritzker, underpins the trader consensus favoring her in the open seat race for the November 2026 general election. Former state GOP chair Don Tracy secured the Republican nomination but trails significantly in a state where Democrats hold consistent advantages in registration, fundraising, and recent statewide results. With the election roughly three months away, limited recent polling and campaign activity have left probabilities stable. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in the state suggest such changes would need to be substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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