Illinois's longstanding Democratic advantage in statewide contests underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the open 2026 U.S. Senate race. Lt. Gov. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated higher-spending challengers, positioning her to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin in a state rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, faces structural headwinds including limited name recognition and the party's historical difficulties winning Senate seats here. Late developments such as national economic shifts, turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unexpected campaign events could still influence the November outcome, though current pricing reflects broad agreement on the race's fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,555 交易量
$25,555 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
95%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
2%
$25,555 交易量
$25,555 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
$12,904 交易量
95%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
$12,651 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's longstanding Democratic advantage in statewide contests underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the open 2026 U.S. Senate race. Lt. Gov. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated higher-spending challengers, positioning her to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin in a state rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, faces structural headwinds including limited name recognition and the party's historical difficulties winning Senate seats here. Late developments such as national economic shifts, turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unexpected campaign events could still influence the November outcome, though current pricing reflects broad agreement on the race's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$25,555结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's longstanding Democratic advantage in statewide contests underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the open 2026 U.S. Senate race. Lt. Gov. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated higher-spending challengers, positioning her to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin in a state rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, faces structural headwinds including limited name recognition and the party's historical difficulties winning Senate seats here. Late developments such as national economic shifts, turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unexpected campaign events could still influence the November outcome, though current pricing reflects broad agreement on the race's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$25,555结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's longstanding Democratic advantage in statewide contests underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the open 2026 U.S. Senate race. Lt. Gov. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated higher-spending challengers, positioning her to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin in a state rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, faces structural headwinds including limited name recognition and the party's historical difficulties winning Senate seats here. Late developments such as national economic shifts, turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unexpected campaign events could still influence the November outcome, though current pricing reflects broad agreement on the race's fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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