Illinois’s strong Democratic lean and Juliana Stratton’s victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, backed by Governor JB Pritzker, underpin trader consensus favoring her nomination win in November. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and Stratton’s position as lieutenant governor provides name recognition and institutional support ahead of the general election matchup against Republican nominee Don Tracy. Recent fundraising reports show Stratton holding a significant edge, reflecting party infrastructure advantages in a reliably blue state. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, such shifts have limited historical precedent in Illinois Senate contests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,515 交易量
$25,515 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
92%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
5%
$25,515 交易量
$25,515 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
$12,866 交易量
92%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
$12,649 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois’s strong Democratic lean and Juliana Stratton’s victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, backed by Governor JB Pritzker, underpin trader consensus favoring her nomination win in November. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and Stratton’s position as lieutenant governor provides name recognition and institutional support ahead of the general election matchup against Republican nominee Don Tracy. Recent fundraising reports show Stratton holding a significant edge, reflecting party infrastructure advantages in a reliably blue state. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, such shifts have limited historical precedent in Illinois Senate contests.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$25,515结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois’s strong Democratic lean and Juliana Stratton’s victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, backed by Governor JB Pritzker, underpin trader consensus favoring her nomination win in November. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and Stratton’s position as lieutenant governor provides name recognition and institutional support ahead of the general election matchup against Republican nominee Don Tracy. Recent fundraising reports show Stratton holding a significant edge, reflecting party infrastructure advantages in a reliably blue state. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, such shifts have limited historical precedent in Illinois Senate contests.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$25,515结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois’s strong Democratic lean and Juliana Stratton’s victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, backed by Governor JB Pritzker, underpin trader consensus favoring her nomination win in November. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and Stratton’s position as lieutenant governor provides name recognition and institutional support ahead of the general election matchup against Republican nominee Don Tracy. Recent fundraising reports show Stratton holding a significant edge, reflecting party infrastructure advantages in a reliably blue state. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, such shifts have limited historical precedent in Illinois Senate contests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题