Illinois voters will decide the open U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, following longtime incumbent Dick Durbin’s retirement. Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton, the current lieutenant governor, secured her party’s nomination in the March 17 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and strong performance in key population centers. The state’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Republican nominee Don Tracy’s lower statewide profile after winning his primary, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward Stratton. Trader consensus reflects limited pathways for a Republican upset in a state where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Potential shifts could arise from major late-cycle developments such as significant polling swings, unforeseen candidate withdrawals, or national political realignments that alter turnout patterns in suburban and downstate areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,555 交易量
$25,555 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
95%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
2%
$25,555 交易量
$25,555 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
$12,904 交易量
95%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
$12,651 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois voters will decide the open U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, following longtime incumbent Dick Durbin’s retirement. Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton, the current lieutenant governor, secured her party’s nomination in the March 17 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and strong performance in key population centers. The state’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Republican nominee Don Tracy’s lower statewide profile after winning his primary, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward Stratton. Trader consensus reflects limited pathways for a Republican upset in a state where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Potential shifts could arise from major late-cycle developments such as significant polling swings, unforeseen candidate withdrawals, or national political realignments that alter turnout patterns in suburban and downstate areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$25,555结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois voters will decide the open U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, following longtime incumbent Dick Durbin’s retirement. Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton, the current lieutenant governor, secured her party’s nomination in the March 17 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and strong performance in key population centers. The state’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Republican nominee Don Tracy’s lower statewide profile after winning his primary, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward Stratton. Trader consensus reflects limited pathways for a Republican upset in a state where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Potential shifts could arise from major late-cycle developments such as significant polling swings, unforeseen candidate withdrawals, or national political realignments that alter turnout patterns in suburban and downstate areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$25,555结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois voters will decide the open U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, following longtime incumbent Dick Durbin’s retirement. Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton, the current lieutenant governor, secured her party’s nomination in the March 17 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and strong performance in key population centers. The state’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Republican nominee Don Tracy’s lower statewide profile after winning his primary, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward Stratton. Trader consensus reflects limited pathways for a Republican upset in a state where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Potential shifts could arise from major late-cycle developments such as significant polling swings, unforeseen candidate withdrawals, or national political realignments that alter turnout patterns in suburban and downstate areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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