Jim Clyburn’s commanding position in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district stems from his long incumbency since 1993, strong support among the district’s core Democratic constituencies, and consistent primary dominance, including a 90%+ win over a minor challenger in June 2026. The district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns favor Democrats, with multiple independent forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee John Peterson, who secured his party’s nomination with roughly 74% in the primary, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered Clyburn comfortable margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Clyburn reflects these entrenched advantages, though late developments such as health events, major scandals, or unusually high turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,901 交易量
$34,901 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·克莱本（民主党）
95%
约翰·彼得森（共和党）
6%
$34,901 交易量
$34,901 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·克莱本（民主党）
$18,658 交易量
95%
约翰·彼得森（共和党）
$16,244 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Clyburn’s commanding position in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district stems from his long incumbency since 1993, strong support among the district’s core Democratic constituencies, and consistent primary dominance, including a 90%+ win over a minor challenger in June 2026. The district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns favor Democrats, with multiple independent forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee John Peterson, who secured his party’s nomination with roughly 74% in the primary, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered Clyburn comfortable margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Clyburn reflects these entrenched advantages, though late developments such as health events, major scandals, or unusually high turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$34,901结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Clyburn’s commanding position in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district stems from his long incumbency since 1993, strong support among the district’s core Democratic constituencies, and consistent primary dominance, including a 90%+ win over a minor challenger in June 2026. The district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns favor Democrats, with multiple independent forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee John Peterson, who secured his party’s nomination with roughly 74% in the primary, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered Clyburn comfortable margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Clyburn reflects these entrenched advantages, though late developments such as health events, major scandals, or unusually high turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,901结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETJim Clyburn’s commanding position in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district stems from his long incumbency since 1993, strong support among the district’s core Democratic constituencies, and consistent primary dominance, including a 90%+ win over a minor challenger in June 2026. The district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns favor Democrats, with multiple independent forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee John Peterson, who secured his party’s nomination with roughly 74% in the primary, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered Clyburn comfortable margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Clyburn reflects these entrenched advantages, though late developments such as health events, major scandals, or unusually high turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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