Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s overwhelming victory in the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary, securing roughly 90 percent of the vote, reinforces trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district. The district’s established partisan composition, encompassing areas around Columbia and North Charleston with consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 92 percent implied probability. Clyburn’s long tenure since 1993 and 2024 general-election margin further stabilize expectations ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John Peterson. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, a late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent, or broader national political realignments, though historical results in this solidly Democratic seat indicate limited scope for such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,445 交易量
$25,445 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
$25,445 交易量
$25,445 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$12,614 交易量
92%
共和党
$12,832 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s overwhelming victory in the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary, securing roughly 90 percent of the vote, reinforces trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district. The district’s established partisan composition, encompassing areas around Columbia and North Charleston with consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 92 percent implied probability. Clyburn’s long tenure since 1993 and 2024 general-election margin further stabilize expectations ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John Peterson. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, a late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent, or broader national political realignments, though historical results in this solidly Democratic seat indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$25,445结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s overwhelming victory in the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary, securing roughly 90 percent of the vote, reinforces trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district. The district’s established partisan composition, encompassing areas around Columbia and North Charleston with consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 92 percent implied probability. Clyburn’s long tenure since 1993 and 2024 general-election margin further stabilize expectations ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John Peterson. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, a late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent, or broader national political realignments, though historical results in this solidly Democratic seat indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,445结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s overwhelming victory in the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary, securing roughly 90 percent of the vote, reinforces trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district. The district’s established partisan composition, encompassing areas around Columbia and North Charleston with consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 92 percent implied probability. Clyburn’s long tenure since 1993 and 2024 general-election margin further stabilize expectations ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John Peterson. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, a late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent, or broader national political realignments, though historical results in this solidly Democratic seat indicate limited scope for such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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