Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican Carrie Buck won her primary with about 78 percent. NV-01 carries a D+2 partisan voting index and encompasses urban and suburban portions of Clark County around Las Vegas. Titus has represented the seat since 2013 and prevailed with 52 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report currently rates the race Likely Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major new developments in the week since primaries, underpin trader consensus around an 84 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner and a more limited 34 percent probability attached to the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
85%
共和党
37%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,381 交易量
85%
共和党
$956 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican Carrie Buck won her primary with about 78 percent. NV-01 carries a D+2 partisan voting index and encompasses urban and suburban portions of Clark County around Las Vegas. Titus has represented the seat since 2013 and prevailed with 52 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report currently rates the race Likely Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major new developments in the week since primaries, underpin trader consensus around an 84 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner and a more limited 34 percent probability attached to the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$2,337结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican Carrie Buck won her primary with about 78 percent. NV-01 carries a D+2 partisan voting index and encompasses urban and suburban portions of Clark County around Las Vegas. Titus has represented the seat since 2013 and prevailed with 52 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report currently rates the race Likely Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major new developments in the week since primaries, underpin trader consensus around an 84 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner and a more limited 34 percent probability attached to the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,337结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican Carrie Buck won her primary with about 78 percent. NV-01 carries a D+2 partisan voting index and encompasses urban and suburban portions of Clark County around Las Vegas. Titus has represented the seat since 2013 and prevailed with 52 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report currently rates the race Likely Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major new developments in the week since primaries, underpin trader consensus around an 84 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner and a more limited 34 percent probability attached to the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题