The Democratic nominee holds an 80.5% implied probability in the NV-01 House race, reflecting the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Democrat Dina Titus’s established position, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Lean Democratic. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are set to compete on June 9, 2026, while several Republicans vie for their nomination the same day. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general-election contest on November 3, 2026, with limited volatility. The Republican outcome at 36.6% captures residual uncertainty around primary results and any late-cycle national factors that could affect turnout in this southern Nevada district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
82%
共和党
41%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,381 交易量
82%
共和党
$956 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds an 80.5% implied probability in the NV-01 House race, reflecting the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Democrat Dina Titus’s established position, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Lean Democratic. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are set to compete on June 9, 2026, while several Republicans vie for their nomination the same day. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general-election contest on November 3, 2026, with limited volatility. The Republican outcome at 36.6% captures residual uncertainty around primary results and any late-cycle national factors that could affect turnout in this southern Nevada district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$2,337结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds an 80.5% implied probability in the NV-01 House race, reflecting the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Democrat Dina Titus’s established position, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Lean Democratic. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are set to compete on June 9, 2026, while several Republicans vie for their nomination the same day. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general-election contest on November 3, 2026, with limited volatility. The Republican outcome at 36.6% captures residual uncertainty around primary results and any late-cycle national factors that could affect turnout in this southern Nevada district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,337结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds an 80.5% implied probability in the NV-01 House race, reflecting the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Democrat Dina Titus’s established position, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Lean Democratic. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are set to compete on June 9, 2026, while several Republicans vie for their nomination the same day. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general-election contest on November 3, 2026, with limited volatility. The Republican outcome at 36.6% captures residual uncertainty around primary results and any late-cycle national factors that could affect turnout in this southern Nevada district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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