Nevada’s 1st congressional district maintains a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 with 52 percent, faces limited Republican opposition and several primary challengers in the June 9, 2026, contest. The district’s urban Las Vegas core and historical voting patterns have kept it out of serious contention for Republicans despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 84 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, while the 40 percent Republican share captures residual uncertainty around turnout and any late-cycle shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
83%
共和党
41%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,381 交易量
83%
共和党
$956 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nevada’s 1st congressional district maintains a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 with 52 percent, faces limited Republican opposition and several primary challengers in the June 9, 2026, contest. The district’s urban Las Vegas core and historical voting patterns have kept it out of serious contention for Republicans despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 84 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, while the 40 percent Republican share captures residual uncertainty around turnout and any late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$2,337结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nevada’s 1st congressional district maintains a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 with 52 percent, faces limited Republican opposition and several primary challengers in the June 9, 2026, contest. The district’s urban Las Vegas core and historical voting patterns have kept it out of serious contention for Republicans despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 84 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, while the 40 percent Republican share captures residual uncertainty around turnout and any late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,337结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nevada’s 1st congressional district maintains a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 with 52 percent, faces limited Republican opposition and several primary challengers in the June 9, 2026, contest. The district’s urban Las Vegas core and historical voting patterns have kept it out of serious contention for Republicans despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 84 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, while the 40 percent Republican share captures residual uncertainty around turnout and any late-cycle shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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