Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District race, with traders assigning her a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Titus’s consistent re-election margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—and multiple nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Likely Democratic underpin this consensus. Both candidates cleared their June 9 primaries by wide margins, and fundraising has remained competitive into September, yet structural factors such as Democratic voter registration advantages and prior redistricting have limited the impact of Republican support for challenger Carrie Buck. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require substantial shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,782 交易量
$25,782 交易量
2026-11-03
迪娜·泰特斯（民主党）
95%
Carrie Buck（共和党）
5%
$25,782 交易量
$25,782 交易量
2026-11-03
迪娜·泰特斯（民主党）
$9,462 交易量
95%
Carrie Buck（共和党）
$16,320 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District race, with traders assigning her a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Titus’s consistent re-election margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—and multiple nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Likely Democratic underpin this consensus. Both candidates cleared their June 9 primaries by wide margins, and fundraising has remained competitive into September, yet structural factors such as Democratic voter registration advantages and prior redistricting have limited the impact of Republican support for challenger Carrie Buck. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require substantial shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$25,782结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District race, with traders assigning her a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Titus’s consistent re-election margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—and multiple nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Likely Democratic underpin this consensus. Both candidates cleared their June 9 primaries by wide margins, and fundraising has remained competitive into September, yet structural factors such as Democratic voter registration advantages and prior redistricting have limited the impact of Republican support for challenger Carrie Buck. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require substantial shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,782结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETIncumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District race, with traders assigning her a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Titus’s consistent re-election margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—and multiple nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Likely Democratic underpin this consensus. Both candidates cleared their June 9 primaries by wide margins, and fundraising has remained competitive into September, yet structural factors such as Democratic voter registration advantages and prior redistricting have limited the impact of Republican support for challenger Carrie Buck. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require substantial shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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