Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee maintains a clear edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Lee secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and enters the race with a history of narrow victories in this battleground seat, including 51.4 percent in 2024. Competitive fundraising through June—Lee at $4.4 million versus Republican Marty O’Donnell at $4.1 million—combined with established name recognition and district demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles supports the current trader consensus. O’Donnell’s primary win, aided by a Trump endorsement, provides the Republican challenger with national visibility and resources, yet the implied probability reflects the structural advantages held by the sitting representative in a contest where small margins have historically decided outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
85%
共和党
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$2,505 交易量
85%
共和党
$213 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee maintains a clear edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Lee secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and enters the race with a history of narrow victories in this battleground seat, including 51.4 percent in 2024. Competitive fundraising through June—Lee at $4.4 million versus Republican Marty O’Donnell at $4.1 million—combined with established name recognition and district demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles supports the current trader consensus. O’Donnell’s primary win, aided by a Trump endorsement, provides the Republican challenger with national visibility and resources, yet the implied probability reflects the structural advantages held by the sitting representative in a contest where small margins have historically decided outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$2,718结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee maintains a clear edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Lee secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and enters the race with a history of narrow victories in this battleground seat, including 51.4 percent in 2024. Competitive fundraising through June—Lee at $4.4 million versus Republican Marty O’Donnell at $4.1 million—combined with established name recognition and district demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles supports the current trader consensus. O’Donnell’s primary win, aided by a Trump endorsement, provides the Republican challenger with national visibility and resources, yet the implied probability reflects the structural advantages held by the sitting representative in a contest where small margins have historically decided outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,718结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee maintains a clear edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Lee secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and enters the race with a history of narrow victories in this battleground seat, including 51.4 percent in 2024. Competitive fundraising through June—Lee at $4.4 million versus Republican Marty O’Donnell at $4.1 million—combined with established name recognition and district demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles supports the current trader consensus. O’Donnell’s primary win, aided by a Trump endorsement, provides the Republican challenger with national visibility and resources, yet the implied probability reflects the structural advantages held by the sitting representative in a contest where small margins have historically decided outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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