Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, while Republicans nominated Marty O'Donnell. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and rates as Lean Democratic across major forecasters, reflecting its status as one of the more competitive Nevada seats. Lee prevailed by a narrow 51.4 percent margin in 2024, and traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency and the district's slight Democratic tilt ahead of the November general election. Republicans have expressed optimism that strong statewide performance, including by Governor Lombardo, could narrow the gap, though no major polling shifts have altered the consensus since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
85%
共和党
46%
民主党
85%
共和党
46%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, while Republicans nominated Marty O'Donnell. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and rates as Lean Democratic across major forecasters, reflecting its status as one of the more competitive Nevada seats. Lee prevailed by a narrow 51.4 percent margin in 2024, and traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency and the district's slight Democratic tilt ahead of the November general election. Republicans have expressed optimism that strong statewide performance, including by Governor Lombardo, could narrow the gap, though no major polling shifts have altered the consensus since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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