Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary for Nevada's 3rd congressional district and enters the November general election against Republican Marty O'Donnell. The Las Vegas-area seat has delivered narrow Democratic margins in recent cycles, reflecting its competitive partisan balance and sensitivity to statewide turnout patterns. Lee's established fundraising edge and name recognition as a four-term representative contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats, while Republican prospects hinge on broader Nevada dynamics such as the gubernatorial race and voter mobilization in suburban precincts. Both nominees advanced from contested primaries without major disruptions, leaving limited new catalysts to shift implied probabilities ahead of early voting in October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
85%
共和党
17%
民主党
85%
共和党
17%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary for Nevada's 3rd congressional district and enters the November general election against Republican Marty O'Donnell. The Las Vegas-area seat has delivered narrow Democratic margins in recent cycles, reflecting its competitive partisan balance and sensitivity to statewide turnout patterns. Lee's established fundraising edge and name recognition as a four-term representative contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats, while Republican prospects hinge on broader Nevada dynamics such as the gubernatorial race and voter mobilization in suburban precincts. Both nominees advanced from contested primaries without major disruptions, leaving limited new catalysts to shift implied probabilities ahead of early voting in October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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