Incumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding lead in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District due to her established name recognition, consistent fundraising edge, and the seat’s underlying Lean Democratic tilt according to major forecasters. Lee secured her 2026 primary comfortably after narrow general-election victories in prior cycles, including a roughly three-point margin in 2024 despite Donald Trump carrying the district. Traders price her at 93.5 percent, reflecting these structural advantages and limited recent polling movement. Martin O’Donnell’s Trump endorsement and recent influx of outside spending from aligned super PACs introduce the main variables that could narrow the gap, particularly if national Republican momentum or local economic concerns intensify before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
苏茜·李（民主党）
94%
马丁·奥唐纳（共和党）
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
苏茜·李（民主党）
$4,588 交易量
94%
马丁·奥唐纳（共和党）
$2,496 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding lead in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District due to her established name recognition, consistent fundraising edge, and the seat’s underlying Lean Democratic tilt according to major forecasters. Lee secured her 2026 primary comfortably after narrow general-election victories in prior cycles, including a roughly three-point margin in 2024 despite Donald Trump carrying the district. Traders price her at 93.5 percent, reflecting these structural advantages and limited recent polling movement. Martin O’Donnell’s Trump endorsement and recent influx of outside spending from aligned super PACs introduce the main variables that could narrow the gap, particularly if national Republican momentum or local economic concerns intensify before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$7,085结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding lead in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District due to her established name recognition, consistent fundraising edge, and the seat’s underlying Lean Democratic tilt according to major forecasters. Lee secured her 2026 primary comfortably after narrow general-election victories in prior cycles, including a roughly three-point margin in 2024 despite Donald Trump carrying the district. Traders price her at 93.5 percent, reflecting these structural advantages and limited recent polling movement. Martin O’Donnell’s Trump endorsement and recent influx of outside spending from aligned super PACs introduce the main variables that could narrow the gap, particularly if national Republican momentum or local economic concerns intensify before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,085结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETIncumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding lead in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District due to her established name recognition, consistent fundraising edge, and the seat’s underlying Lean Democratic tilt according to major forecasters. Lee secured her 2026 primary comfortably after narrow general-election victories in prior cycles, including a roughly three-point margin in 2024 despite Donald Trump carrying the district. Traders price her at 93.5 percent, reflecting these structural advantages and limited recent polling movement. Martin O’Donnell’s Trump endorsement and recent influx of outside spending from aligned super PACs introduce the main variables that could narrow the gap, particularly if national Republican momentum or local economic concerns intensify before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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