Skip to main content
icon for 西班牙在2026年提前举行大选?

西班牙在2026年提前举行大选?

icon for 西班牙在2026年提前举行大选?

西班牙在2026年提前举行大选?

27% 概率
Polymarket

$26,868 交易量

27% 概率
Polymarket

$26,868 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Spain's prime minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the full legislative term and contest the scheduled general election by August 2027, rejecting opposition calls for an early vote despite multiple regional setbacks for the PSOE and ongoing corruption investigations involving party figures. Recent regional contests, including the May 2026 Andalusia vote where the Socialists suffered heavy losses, have reinforced a rightward national trend favoring the Popular Party and Vox, yet Sánchez's government maintains parliamentary support through its coalition arrangements without triggering dissolution. Speculation around budget disputes or coalition fragility has not produced concrete moves toward a 2026 snap election, aligning with trader consensus that the prime minister will avoid an early contest given historical patterns and his public commitments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,868
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Spain's prime minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the full legislative term and contest the scheduled general election by August 2027, rejecting opposition calls for an early vote despite multiple regional setbacks for the PSOE and ongoing corruption investigations involving party figures. Recent regional contests, including the May 2026 Andalusia vote where the Socialists suffered heavy losses, have reinforced a rightward national trend favoring the Popular Party and Vox, yet Sánchez's government maintains parliamentary support through its coalition arrangements without triggering dissolution. Speculation around budget disputes or coalition fragility has not produced concrete moves toward a 2026 snap election, aligning with trader consensus that the prime minister will avoid an early contest given historical patterns and his public commitments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,868
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"西班牙在2026年提前举行大选?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"西班牙将在2026年举行突提前大选?",概率为 27%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 27¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 27%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"西班牙在2026年提前举行大选?"已产生 $26.9K 的总交易量(自Mar 5, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"西班牙在2026年提前举行大选?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"西班牙在2026年提前举行大选?"的当前领先者是"西班牙将在2026年举行突提前大选?",概率为 27%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 27%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"西班牙在2026年提前举行大选?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。