Spain’s minority coalition government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez continues to operate without an immediate parliamentary crisis or successful no-confidence motion that would compel dissolution of the Cortes Generales. Sánchez has publicly committed to completing the legislative term, including the launch of procedures for the 2027 General State Budget in early June 2026, while rejecting speculation of an early national vote tied to Junts parliamentary support or external events such as the Iran conflict. Recent regional contests in Aragón, Castile and León, and Andalusia produced gains for the opposition Popular Party but created no national-level trigger for dissolution before the constitutional deadline of August 2027. National polling shows a competitive contest favoring the PP without a decisive shift that would prompt preemptive action by the incumbent. Traders therefore assign higher probability to the absence of a snap election by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$27,183 交易量
$27,183 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$27,183 交易量
$27,183 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Spain’s minority coalition government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez continues to operate without an immediate parliamentary crisis or successful no-confidence motion that would compel dissolution of the Cortes Generales. Sánchez has publicly committed to completing the legislative term, including the launch of procedures for the 2027 General State Budget in early June 2026, while rejecting speculation of an early national vote tied to Junts parliamentary support or external events such as the Iran conflict. Recent regional contests in Aragón, Castile and León, and Andalusia produced gains for the opposition Popular Party but created no national-level trigger for dissolution before the constitutional deadline of August 2027. National polling shows a competitive contest favoring the PP without a decisive shift that would prompt preemptive action by the incumbent. Traders therefore assign higher probability to the absence of a snap election by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$27,183结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Spain’s minority coalition government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez continues to operate without an immediate parliamentary crisis or successful no-confidence motion that would compel dissolution of the Cortes Generales. Sánchez has publicly committed to completing the legislative term, including the launch of procedures for the 2027 General State Budget in early June 2026, while rejecting speculation of an early national vote tied to Junts parliamentary support or external events such as the Iran conflict. Recent regional contests in Aragón, Castile and León, and Andalusia produced gains for the opposition Popular Party but created no national-level trigger for dissolution before the constitutional deadline of August 2027. National polling shows a competitive contest favoring the PP without a decisive shift that would prompt preemptive action by the incumbent. Traders therefore assign higher probability to the absence of a snap election by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,183结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain’s minority coalition government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez continues to operate without an immediate parliamentary crisis or successful no-confidence motion that would compel dissolution of the Cortes Generales. Sánchez has publicly committed to completing the legislative term, including the launch of procedures for the 2027 General State Budget in early June 2026, while rejecting speculation of an early national vote tied to Junts parliamentary support or external events such as the Iran conflict. Recent regional contests in Aragón, Castile and León, and Andalusia produced gains for the opposition Popular Party but created no national-level trigger for dissolution before the constitutional deadline of August 2027. National polling shows a competitive contest favoring the PP without a decisive shift that would prompt preemptive action by the incumbent. Traders therefore assign higher probability to the absence of a snap election by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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