The KMT-TPP cooperation agreement, finalized in March 2026 and reinforced through joint candidate polling and nomination coordination, drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Kuomintang in the November 28 local elections. This alliance aims to consolidate opposition votes across magistrate, mayoral, and council races, building on the KMT’s established local base and the TPP’s role as a swing alternative following the 2024 legislative results. The DPP, as the incumbent ruling party under President Lai Ching-te, faces typical midterm headwinds without similar cross-party arrangements. Recent KMT leadership under Cheng Li-wun has prioritized continuing this partnership, including for high-profile contests like New Taipei, while polls indicate sustained opposition momentum ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于中国国民党(KMT) 87%
民进党(DPP) 12.4%
台湾民众党(TPP) <1%
$141,748 交易量
$141,748 交易量

中国国民党(KMT)
87%

民进党(DPP)
12%

台湾民众党(TPP)
<1%
中国国民党(KMT) 87%
民进党(DPP) 12.4%
台湾民众党(TPP) <1%
$141,748 交易量
$141,748 交易量

中国国民党(KMT)
87%

民进党(DPP)
12%

台湾民众党(TPP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间: Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The KMT-TPP cooperation agreement, finalized in March 2026 and reinforced through joint candidate polling and nomination coordination, drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Kuomintang in the November 28 local elections. This alliance aims to consolidate opposition votes across magistrate, mayoral, and council races, building on the KMT’s established local base and the TPP’s role as a swing alternative following the 2024 legislative results. The DPP, as the incumbent ruling party under President Lai Ching-te, faces typical midterm headwinds without similar cross-party arrangements. Recent KMT leadership under Cheng Li-wun has prioritized continuing this partnership, including for high-profile contests like New Taipei, while polls indicate sustained opposition momentum ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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警惕外部链接哦。
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