Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff holds a clear edge in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, reflected in trader consensus assigning an 86.5% implied probability to a Democratic win versus 13.7% for the Republican nominee. Ossoff advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary while Republicans advanced Representative Mike Collins and Derek Dooley to a June 16 runoff after no candidate reached a majority on May 19. Early head-to-head polling shows Ossoff maintaining narrow leads against potential GOP opponents, supported by incumbency advantages, established fundraising networks, and voter turnout patterns in this battleground state. The upcoming runoff outcome and subsequent general-election dynamics through November will shape final positioning, though historical Senate re-election rates for incumbents and Georgia's recent electoral trends continue to anchor current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,774 交易量
$28,774 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
87%
共和党
14%
$28,774 交易量
$28,774 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,472 交易量
87%
共和党
$18,303 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff holds a clear edge in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, reflected in trader consensus assigning an 86.5% implied probability to a Democratic win versus 13.7% for the Republican nominee. Ossoff advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary while Republicans advanced Representative Mike Collins and Derek Dooley to a June 16 runoff after no candidate reached a majority on May 19. Early head-to-head polling shows Ossoff maintaining narrow leads against potential GOP opponents, supported by incumbency advantages, established fundraising networks, and voter turnout patterns in this battleground state. The upcoming runoff outcome and subsequent general-election dynamics through November will shape final positioning, though historical Senate re-election rates for incumbents and Georgia's recent electoral trends continue to anchor current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$28,774结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff holds a clear edge in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, reflected in trader consensus assigning an 86.5% implied probability to a Democratic win versus 13.7% for the Republican nominee. Ossoff advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary while Republicans advanced Representative Mike Collins and Derek Dooley to a June 16 runoff after no candidate reached a majority on May 19. Early head-to-head polling shows Ossoff maintaining narrow leads against potential GOP opponents, supported by incumbency advantages, established fundraising networks, and voter turnout patterns in this battleground state. The upcoming runoff outcome and subsequent general-election dynamics through November will shape final positioning, though historical Senate re-election rates for incumbents and Georgia's recent electoral trends continue to anchor current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$28,774结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff holds a clear edge in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, reflected in trader consensus assigning an 86.5% implied probability to a Democratic win versus 13.7% for the Republican nominee. Ossoff advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary while Republicans advanced Representative Mike Collins and Derek Dooley to a June 16 runoff after no candidate reached a majority on May 19. Early head-to-head polling shows Ossoff maintaining narrow leads against potential GOP opponents, supported by incumbency advantages, established fundraising networks, and voter turnout patterns in this battleground state. The upcoming runoff outcome and subsequent general-election dynamics through November will shape final positioning, though historical Senate re-election rates for incumbents and Georgia's recent electoral trends continue to anchor current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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