Trader consensus assigns Democrats a slim edge at winning all four core contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine because each remains a toss-up or lean race with tight polling averages and strong candidate recruitment on both sides. Democratic incumbents and nominees benefit from recent primary consolidation and national headwinds for Republicans, yet must defend or flip seats in states carried by the opposing party in 2024. Forecasters highlight balanced fundraising, turnout dynamics, and economic messaging as key variables. Any divergence in individual race polling, debate performances, or late-cycle spending through November 3 could tip the combined outcome in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
54% 概率
$21,480 交易量
$21,480 交易量
2026-11-02
是
54% 概率
$21,480 交易量
$21,480 交易量
2026-11-02
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus assigns Democrats a slim edge at winning all four core contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine because each remains a toss-up or lean race with tight polling averages and strong candidate recruitment on both sides. Democratic incumbents and nominees benefit from recent primary consolidation and national headwinds for Republicans, yet must defend or flip seats in states carried by the opposing party in 2024. Forecasters highlight balanced fundraising, turnout dynamics, and economic messaging as key variables. Any divergence in individual race polling, debate performances, or late-cycle spending through November 3 could tip the combined outcome in either direction.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$21,480结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus assigns Democrats a slim edge at winning all four core contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine because each remains a toss-up or lean race with tight polling averages and strong candidate recruitment on both sides. Democratic incumbents and nominees benefit from recent primary consolidation and national headwinds for Republicans, yet must defend or flip seats in states carried by the opposing party in 2024. Forecasters highlight balanced fundraising, turnout dynamics, and economic messaging as key variables. Any divergence in individual race polling, debate performances, or late-cycle spending through November 3 could tip the combined outcome in either direction.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
交易量
$21,480结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETTrader consensus assigns Democrats a slim edge at winning all four core contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine because each remains a toss-up or lean race with tight polling averages and strong candidate recruitment on both sides. Democratic incumbents and nominees benefit from recent primary consolidation and national headwinds for Republicans, yet must defend or flip seats in states carried by the opposing party in 2024. Forecasters highlight balanced fundraising, turnout dynamics, and economic messaging as key variables. Any divergence in individual race polling, debate performances, or late-cycle spending through November 3 could tip the combined outcome in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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