Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district as the Republican incumbent facing Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to encompass eastern counties including Onslow, Pitt, and Wayne, retains a solid Republican tilt reflected in Murphy's 2024 victory margin and consistent race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Murphy's substantial fundraising edge and uncontested primary further reinforce trader consensus, while Smith's primary win and modest resources have not shifted the race into competitive territory. A single summer poll showed a narrow gap, yet structural factors including incumbency and partisan lean continue to anchor probabilities ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,249 交易量
$19,249 交易量
2026-11-02
格雷格·墨菲（共和党）
86%
雷蒙德·史密斯尔（民主党）
13%
$19,249 交易量
$19,249 交易量
2026-11-02
格雷格·墨菲（共和党）
$14,276 交易量
86%
雷蒙德·史密斯尔（民主党）
$4,972 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district as the Republican incumbent facing Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to encompass eastern counties including Onslow, Pitt, and Wayne, retains a solid Republican tilt reflected in Murphy's 2024 victory margin and consistent race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Murphy's substantial fundraising edge and uncontested primary further reinforce trader consensus, while Smith's primary win and modest resources have not shifted the race into competitive territory. A single summer poll showed a narrow gap, yet structural factors including incumbency and partisan lean continue to anchor probabilities ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$19,249结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district as the Republican incumbent facing Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to encompass eastern counties including Onslow, Pitt, and Wayne, retains a solid Republican tilt reflected in Murphy's 2024 victory margin and consistent race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Murphy's substantial fundraising edge and uncontested primary further reinforce trader consensus, while Smith's primary win and modest resources have not shifted the race into competitive territory. A single summer poll showed a narrow gap, yet structural factors including incumbency and partisan lean continue to anchor probabilities ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,249结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETGreg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district as the Republican incumbent facing Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to encompass eastern counties including Onslow, Pitt, and Wayne, retains a solid Republican tilt reflected in Murphy's 2024 victory margin and consistent race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Murphy's substantial fundraising edge and uncontested primary further reinforce trader consensus, while Smith's primary win and modest resources have not shifted the race into competitive territory. A single summer poll showed a narrow gap, yet structural factors including incumbency and partisan lean continue to anchor probabilities ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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