Republican incumbent Greg Murphy seeks a fifth term in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district, where redrawn boundaries still deliver a solid Republican tilt based on recent presidential voting patterns. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Raymond Smith Jr. as the challenger, yet independent ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited recent polling and the absence of major campaign developments since the primaries reinforce trader consensus around the Republican outcome. Structural factors such as the district's voter composition and Murphy's established incumbency continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,994 交易量
$18,994 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
86%
民主党
14%
$18,994 交易量
$18,994 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$14,269 交易量
86%
民主党
$4,725 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Greg Murphy seeks a fifth term in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district, where redrawn boundaries still deliver a solid Republican tilt based on recent presidential voting patterns. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Raymond Smith Jr. as the challenger, yet independent ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited recent polling and the absence of major campaign developments since the primaries reinforce trader consensus around the Republican outcome. Structural factors such as the district's voter composition and Murphy's established incumbency continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$18,994结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Greg Murphy seeks a fifth term in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district, where redrawn boundaries still deliver a solid Republican tilt based on recent presidential voting patterns. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Raymond Smith Jr. as the challenger, yet independent ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited recent polling and the absence of major campaign developments since the primaries reinforce trader consensus around the Republican outcome. Structural factors such as the district's voter composition and Murphy's established incumbency continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,994结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Greg Murphy seeks a fifth term in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district, where redrawn boundaries still deliver a solid Republican tilt based on recent presidential voting patterns. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Raymond Smith Jr. as the challenger, yet independent ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited recent polling and the absence of major campaign developments since the primaries reinforce trader consensus around the Republican outcome. Structural factors such as the district's voter composition and Murphy's established incumbency continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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