Democratic incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s Solid Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and strong prior performance with a 65 percent margin. Recent primaries confirmed Kennedy and Republican Dennis Hannon as nominees, with no major shifts in district dynamics or candidate viability reported in the past month. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s established voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and limited competitiveness in statewide House forecasts. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain possible, including unexpected national political swings, candidate-specific issues emerging close to election day, or unusually high turnout changes among key voter groups.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,609 交易量
$26,609 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$26,609 交易量
$26,609 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$14,426 交易量
95%
共和党
$12,183 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s Solid Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and strong prior performance with a 65 percent margin. Recent primaries confirmed Kennedy and Republican Dennis Hannon as nominees, with no major shifts in district dynamics or candidate viability reported in the past month. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s established voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and limited competitiveness in statewide House forecasts. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain possible, including unexpected national political swings, candidate-specific issues emerging close to election day, or unusually high turnout changes among key voter groups.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$26,609结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s Solid Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and strong prior performance with a 65 percent margin. Recent primaries confirmed Kennedy and Republican Dennis Hannon as nominees, with no major shifts in district dynamics or candidate viability reported in the past month. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s established voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and limited competitiveness in statewide House forecasts. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain possible, including unexpected national political swings, candidate-specific issues emerging close to election day, or unusually high turnout changes among key voter groups.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,609结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s Solid Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and strong prior performance with a 65 percent margin. Recent primaries confirmed Kennedy and Republican Dennis Hannon as nominees, with no major shifts in district dynamics or candidate viability reported in the past month. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s established voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and limited competitiveness in statewide House forecasts. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain possible, including unexpected national political swings, candidate-specific issues emerging close to election day, or unusually high turnout changes among key voter groups.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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