Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy faces Republican Dennis Hannon in New York's 26th congressional district, centered on the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts and a D+11 partisan voting index, consistent with Kennedy's 65% margin in 2024. No significant primary opposition has emerged ahead of the June 23 contests, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic advantage, recent electoral history, and limited signs of a national shift capable of overcoming the baseline partisan lean. Potential challengers to the frontrunner position would require major developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout in this urban-leaning seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于NY-26 House Election Winner
NY-26 House Election Winner
$25,692 交易量
$25,692 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$25,692 交易量
$25,692 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$13,673 交易量
94%
Republican Party
$12,018 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy faces Republican Dennis Hannon in New York's 26th congressional district, centered on the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts and a D+11 partisan voting index, consistent with Kennedy's 65% margin in 2024. No significant primary opposition has emerged ahead of the June 23 contests, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic advantage, recent electoral history, and limited signs of a national shift capable of overcoming the baseline partisan lean. Potential challengers to the frontrunner position would require major developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout in this urban-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$25,692结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy faces Republican Dennis Hannon in New York's 26th congressional district, centered on the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts and a D+11 partisan voting index, consistent with Kennedy's 65% margin in 2024. No significant primary opposition has emerged ahead of the June 23 contests, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic advantage, recent electoral history, and limited signs of a national shift capable of overcoming the baseline partisan lean. Potential challengers to the frontrunner position would require major developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout in this urban-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,692结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy faces Republican Dennis Hannon in New York's 26th congressional district, centered on the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts and a D+11 partisan voting index, consistent with Kennedy's 65% margin in 2024. No significant primary opposition has emerged ahead of the June 23 contests, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic advantage, recent electoral history, and limited signs of a national shift capable of overcoming the baseline partisan lean. Potential challengers to the frontrunner position would require major developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout in this urban-leaning seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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