NY-25 remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the district’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings (Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections) classifying it as Safe or Solid Democratic. Incumbent Joseph Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary against two challengers, while Republican Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, limited Republican organizational strength locally, and absence of any major late-cycle developments or national headwinds that typically alter such races. A Democratic victory would align with historical patterns in this Rochester-area district unless an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national partisan swing intervenes before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,176 交易量
$26,176 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$26,176 交易量
$26,176 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$15,902 交易量
95%
共和党
$10,274 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-25 remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the district’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings (Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections) classifying it as Safe or Solid Democratic. Incumbent Joseph Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary against two challengers, while Republican Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, limited Republican organizational strength locally, and absence of any major late-cycle developments or national headwinds that typically alter such races. A Democratic victory would align with historical patterns in this Rochester-area district unless an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national partisan swing intervenes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$26,176结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-25 remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the district’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings (Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections) classifying it as Safe or Solid Democratic. Incumbent Joseph Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary against two challengers, while Republican Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, limited Republican organizational strength locally, and absence of any major late-cycle developments or national headwinds that typically alter such races. A Democratic victory would align with historical patterns in this Rochester-area district unless an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national partisan swing intervenes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,176结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-25 remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the district’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings (Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections) classifying it as Safe or Solid Democratic. Incumbent Joseph Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary against two challengers, while Republican Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, limited Republican organizational strength locally, and absence of any major late-cycle developments or national headwinds that typically alter such races. A Democratic victory would align with historical patterns in this Rochester-area district unless an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national partisan swing intervenes before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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