Recent June ISM Services PMI at 54.0, down 0.5 points from May amid slower business activity and new orders growth, anchors trader expectations for the July release due August 5. The employment subindex improved into expansion territory for the first time in months, while price pressures eased to a four-month low, supporting a narrow band of outcomes clustered between 53.0–54.9 that together imply over 60% probability. Broader services resilience, reflected in the 12-month average near 53.1, continues despite lingering inflation concerns tied to geopolitical factors, with consensus forecasts centering near 54.2.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于54.0–54.9 38%
53.0–53.9 24%
55.0–55.9 14.3%
52.0–52.9 7.5%
$21,778 交易量
$21,778 交易量
低于50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
5%
51.0–51.9
5%
52.0–52.9
7%
53.0–53.9
24%
54.0–54.9
38%
55.0–55.9
14%
56.0–56.9
4%
57.0–57.9
2%
58.0+
6%
54.0–54.9 38%
53.0–53.9 24%
55.0–55.9 14.3%
52.0–52.9 7.5%
$21,778 交易量
$21,778 交易量
低于50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
5%
51.0–51.9
5%
52.0–52.9
7%
53.0–53.9
24%
54.0–54.9
38%
55.0–55.9
14%
56.0–56.9
4%
57.0–57.9
2%
58.0+
6%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: Jul 10, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June ISM Services PMI at 54.0, down 0.5 points from May amid slower business activity and new orders growth, anchors trader expectations for the July release due August 5. The employment subindex improved into expansion territory for the first time in months, while price pressures eased to a four-month low, supporting a narrow band of outcomes clustered between 53.0–54.9 that together imply over 60% probability. Broader services resilience, reflected in the 12-month average near 53.1, continues despite lingering inflation concerns tied to geopolitical factors, with consensus forecasts centering near 54.2.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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警惕外部链接哦。
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