Several states have pursued mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, with ten—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—enacting new maps. Republican-led legislatures drove most changes to gain seats, while California Democrats advanced a map via ballot measure. The Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais decision altered standards for race-based districting under the Voting Rights Act, prompting or enabling revisions in multiple states and resolving some litigation in favor of new boundaries. Ongoing court challenges in states like Texas and others continue to shape outcomes, with primaries underway and the November election approaching. Trader focus centers on which maps survive legal scrutiny and take effect.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$395,682 交易量
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
2%
New Jersey
5%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
$395,682 交易量
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
2%
New Jersey
5%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Several states have pursued mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, with ten—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—enacting new maps. Republican-led legislatures drove most changes to gain seats, while California Democrats advanced a map via ballot measure. The Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais decision altered standards for race-based districting under the Voting Rights Act, prompting or enabling revisions in multiple states and resolving some litigation in favor of new boundaries. Ongoing court challenges in states like Texas and others continue to shape outcomes, with primaries underway and the November election approaching. Trader focus centers on which maps survive legal scrutiny and take effect.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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