Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted and are using new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms following an unprecedented wave of mid-decade redistricting. President Trump’s 2025 push prompted Republican-led states to redraw lines for partisan advantage, while Democrats responded in California via voter-approved changes and Utah through court action. The U.S. Supreme Court’s April 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais limited Voting Rights Act challenges to racial gerrymandering, enabling further Republican adjustments in Alabama, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Florida. Ongoing litigation persists in several states, but recent court signals indicate most maps will remain in place through November, shifting roughly 10–16 seats toward Republicans overall. Primary elections and candidate filings in affected states continue to test implementation timelines ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$398,948 交易量
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
87%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
93%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
5%
Kansas
2%
New Jersey
5%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
4%
$398,948 交易量
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
87%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
93%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
5%
Kansas
2%
New Jersey
5%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
4%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted and are using new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms following an unprecedented wave of mid-decade redistricting. President Trump’s 2025 push prompted Republican-led states to redraw lines for partisan advantage, while Democrats responded in California via voter-approved changes and Utah through court action. The U.S. Supreme Court’s April 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais limited Voting Rights Act challenges to racial gerrymandering, enabling further Republican adjustments in Alabama, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Florida. Ongoing litigation persists in several states, but recent court signals indicate most maps will remain in place through November, shifting roughly 10–16 seats toward Republicans overall. Primary elections and candidate filings in affected states continue to test implementation timelines ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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